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Swing Idea

$20+|20%+ Wk Tuesday 9/30/2025

September 30, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (US Eastern time)

  • Datetime range analyzed (EST/ET): 2025-09-30 14:00 to 19:00 ET (EDT, UTC-4).
  • Defense/Infrastructure led: Steady late-day strength and closes near highs in NOC, CW, MYRG, PWR, FIX. Volume expanded into the final 60–90 minutes (e.g., CW, MYRG, PWR), a bullish short-term tell for 1–3 day momentum continuation.
  • Materials/Resources (energy transition) caught strong flows: LAC exploded on volume with a wide range and held most of its gains into the after-hours; AQMS popped then based above prior levels. This group’s risk-on tone favors follow-through.
  • Biotech/therapeutics mixed but several momentum standouts: BCAX, RAPT, FULC, CRVS closed firm with rising late-day participation; CDTX faded into the close; QURE eased after-hours; MRUS held steady near highs with heavy earlier volume.
  • Quality growth/Tech was constructive: DUOL broke higher late; IAS firm; SKYT and WOLF were steady-to-sideways. APP’s after-hours prints were tight and elevated.
  • Financials/Asset managers neutral-to-positive: BLK firm near highs; inverse financial ETF FAZ was flat to down, consistent with risk-on tone.
  • Consumer/Staples mixed: ULTA held higher; UNFI steady; THS faded and briefly broke intraday support before recovering.

Notable short-term patterns

  • Late-day volume expansions with closes near session highs: BCAX, RAPT, MYRG, NOC, PWR, DUOL, FIX. This often precedes 1–3 day continuation.
  • Wide-range, high-volume breakouts/bounces in cyclicals/resources: LAC (huge volume pivot), AQMS sympathy strength.
  • Tight consolidations at elevated levels in large caps: BLK, DUOL—often a springboard when paired with rising late-day volume.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to push higher:

  • LAC (Lithium): strong momentum/volume, held gains.
  • BCAX (Biotech): persistent bid and late-day volume expansion.
  • RAPT (Biotech): breakout attempt with volume.
  • FULC (Biotech): orderly higher lows, firm close.
  • DUOL (EdTech): breakout continuation setup.
  • NOC (Defense): trend continuation, higher close on volume.
  • MYRG (Infrastructure/Electrical): strong trend continuation.
  • PWR (Infrastructure/Utilities contractor): steady higher-high pattern.

Strongest bullish signals: LAC, DUOL, NOC, MYRG, BCAX.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Daily zones are inferred from today’s range plus common round-number pivots. Confirm on your daily chart before execution.

1) LAC

  • Supports (daily zones): 7.50; 7.30–7.35 (intraday pullback area); 7.00 (psych).
  • Resistances (daily zones): 7.90–8.03 (session high/supply); 8.30; 8.70 (approx 1.0–1.7x today’s range extension).
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a shallow pullback toward 7.50–7.60 followed by a push toward 7.90–8.00. If 8.00 clears on volume, look for 8.30 then 8.60–8.70.
  • 1–3 day targets: 7.95–8.00; 8.30; 8.60–8.70.
  • Entries: Scale 7.50–7.60; add on 7.90 breakout with volume.
  • Stop-loss: 7.22 (beneath 7.30 shelf) or tight 7.38 if breakout entry only.
finviz dynamic chart for LAC

2) BCAX

  • Supports: 15.18–15.20; 15.35–15.40 (afternoon demand); 15.00.
  • Resistances: 15.81 (HOD); 16.00; 16.20–16.30.
  • 30-min outlook: Look for consolidation 15.35–15.60, then a test of 15.80–16.00. Break/hold over 16.00 opens 16.20–16.30.
  • 1–3 day targets: 15.95–16.00; 16.20; stretch 16.60.
  • Entries: 15.35–15.45 pullback; or through 15.85–15.90 with rising volume.
  • Stop-loss: 15.08 (below day’s demand); tighter: 15.25 if buying strength.
finviz dynamic chart for BCAX

3) RAPT

  • Supports: 25.17–25.20; 25.40–25.50; 24.90.
  • Resistances: 25.79–25.80; 26.16 (HOD); 26.50–26.60.
  • 30-min outlook: Favor a dip-and-rip—early pullback into 25.40–25.50, then a drive to 25.80 and 26.10–26.20. Above 26.20, look for 26.50–26.60.
  • 1–3 day targets: 26.10–26.20; 26.50–26.60; stretch 27.10–27.20.
  • Entries: 25.45–25.55; add above 25.80 on volume.
  • Stop-loss: 24.98–25.05 (below demand and round-number).
finviz dynamic chart for RAPT

4) FULC

  • Supports: 9.02–9.05; 9.10; 8.85–8.90.
  • Resistances: 9.21–9.22; 9.30; 9.50.
  • 30-min outlook: Expect a tight flag 9.05–9.20. A push over 9.22–9.30 targets 9.45–9.50. Failure to hold 9.02 risks a backfill to 8.90.
  • 1–3 day targets: 9.30–9.35; 9.45–9.50; stretch 9.70–9.80.
  • Entries: 9.05–9.12 pullback; or 9.22–9.25 breakout.
  • Stop-loss: 8.98 (beneath VWAP shelf); swing stop 8.84.
finviz dynamic chart for FULC

5) DUOL

  • Supports: 321.00–321.25; 320.00; 318.70–318.80.
  • Resistances: 322.08–323.23; 323.89 (HOD); 326.00–327.00.
  • 30-min outlook: Holding above 321 favors a grind to 323–324; break/hold >323.9 sets 326–327. Failure to hold 320 invites a test of 318.8 then rebuild.
  • 1–3 day targets: 323.9; 326–327; stretch 329–330.
  • Entries: 321.0–321.3 reclaim; or 323.3–323.9 breakout.
  • Stop-loss: 319.9 (beneath round-number and intraday base).
finviz dynamic chart for DUOL

6) NOC

  • Supports: 607.05–607.10; 606.56; 605.00.
  • Resistances: 609.32 (close); 610.12 (HOD); 612.00–612.50.
  • 30-min outlook: Expect early digestion 606.8–609. A strong push through 610.1 opens 612–613. Trend intact while >606.5.
  • 1–3 day targets: 610.1; 612–613; stretch 615.
  • Entries: 606.9–607.2 pullback; or >610.1 with volume confirmation.
  • Stop-loss: 605.9 (beneath higher-low structure); swing stop 604.8.
finviz dynamic chart for NOC

7) MYRG

  • Supports: 206.00; 205.65; 205.00.
  • Resistances: 208.11–208.34 (HOD zone); 209.50; 211.00.
  • 30-min outlook: Buy dips above 206 for a retest of 208.3; a clean break targets 209.5 then 210.8–211.0 over 1–3 days.
  • 1–3 day targets: 208.3; 209.5; 211.0.
  • Entries: 206.0–206.4 on pullback; add through 208.3 on volume.
  • Stop-loss: 204.9 (beneath demand and round-number).
finviz dynamic chart for MYRG

8) PWR

  • Supports: 411.65–411.70; 412.25 (late-day low/close); 413.50 (intraday pivot).
  • Resistances: 414.38; 415.36 (HOD); 417.00–418.50.
  • 30-min outlook: Look for a quick reclaim of 413.5–414.0 leading to 415.3; above 415.4, momentum can carry into 417–418.5 within 1–3 days.
  • 1–3 day targets: 414.5; 415.3–415.4; 417.0–418.5.
  • Entries: 412.3–413.0 pullback; or through 414.4–414.6 with volume.
  • Stop-loss: 411.4 (beneath demand zone).
finviz dynamic chart for PWR

Additional watchlist notes

  • FIX, CW also showed late-day strength; consider them for pullback buys near today’s mid/upper VWAP zones.
  • AQMS is a high-beta sympathy to LAC—momentum continuation possible but with wider risk bands.
  • BLK, ULTA were firm; expect slow-grind setups rather than fast momentum.

Risk management

  • Size down on the highest-volatility names (e.g., LAC) and consider partial exits at the first target to derisk.
  • If first hour fails to confirm higher lows on the 30-min, wait for VWAP reclaims before adding risk.
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