Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window reviewed)
– Data reviewed: 2026-01-13 from 13:30 to 19:30 EST (intraday and after-hours bars provided). A full 30-day history wasn’t included, so the commentary emphasizes the most recent 10 intraday bars and today’s day structure.
What stood out by sector/industry based on price/volume in the provided set:
– Precious metals/miners leadership: Strong after-hours bids across silver and leveraged gold miner ETFs. AGQ (2x Silver) ripped from ~231.5 to ~238.4 with expanding volume; GDXU/JNUG/NUGT all ticked higher into the evening; FNV held an orderly uptrend into the close. Pattern: momentum expansion and closing strength in metals—suggests a bullish follow-through setup over the next 1–3 days.
– Defense steady-to-bullish: HII broke out hard after-hours (415→427+). LHX, NOC, LMT, KTOS were firm/steady. Pattern: capital rotating into defense; HII shows the clean breakout/volume signature most likely to continue.
– Homebuilders mixed but resilient: HOV turned on late-day momentum (123.9→127.3), DHI/CCS grinded, NAIL held bid. Pattern: pullback-buy appetite still present, with selective surges (HOV) near day’s end.
– Semis/AI hardware mixed, selective strength: MTSI surged into the close on heavy volume (largest 15:30 bar), KLAC firmed late, MPWR ticked up; ASML was mixed. Pattern: stock-picking market in semis—relative strength in MTSI vs. broader chop.
– Industrials/capex mostly consolidating: URI, PH, DE, FIX, MLM, EXP, WSO had orderly closes; CAT faded after-hours. Pattern: digestion rather than distribution—no broad risk-off, but not the leadership today, either.
– Crypto/fintech: IREN and BKKT were bid in after-hours—another risk-on pocket aligning with metals strength.
– Large-cap consumer/staples steady: COST, HD, LOW, SHW mostly stable—no leadership signals.
Noticeable near-term patterns
– Closing strength with rising after-hours prints and expanding volume in metals (AGQ, NUGT, JNUG, GDXU) and single-name leadership in defense (HII) and select tech (MTSI). Late-day surges (HOV, KRYS, IBP) point to risk appetite in momentum pockets.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Likely upside continuation candidates:
– AGQ, NUGT (precious metals momentum)
– HII (defense breakout)
– MTSI (semi RF momentum)
– KRYS (biotech breakout continuation)
– IBP (building products relative strength)
Most bullish signals today: AGQ, HII, MTSI, KRYS.
Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plan (1–3 day swing)
Notes:
– Support/resistance levels reference today’s daily candle structure, intraday highs/lows, and nearby psychological levels.
– Targets use nearby resistance and roughly today’s realized range as a proxy for short-term ATR.
– Use limit entries at or near support; size smaller on leveraged ETFs (AGQ, NUGT).
1) AGQ (ProShares Ultra Silver)
– Daily key support: 236.00; 234.20; 232.10
– Daily key resistance/supply: 238.63 (AH high); 240.00; 242.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an opening consolidation 236.5–238.0. Holding 236–236.5 suggests a bull-flag continuation toward 239.5–241. Weakness only if sustained back below ~234.5.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 239.50; 241.80; 244.00
– Entries: 236.20–236.60 pullback; secondary 234.60–234.90
– Stops: 233.80 (tight); or 231.40 (room to daily demand)
2) NUGT (Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2x)
– Daily key support: 232.25; 232.00; 231.20
– Daily key resistance/supply: 234.00; 235.50; 237.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Strong into the close; look for early test of 232.2–232.6. Holding above 232 keeps pressure on 234–235.5. Failure back below 231.8 risks a fade.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 234.80; 236.40; 237.90
– Entries: 232.20–232.60
– Stops: 231.40 (below session support)
3) HII (Huntington Ingalls)
– Daily key support: 424.00; 420.00; 415.30
– Daily key resistance/supply: 427.42; 430.00; 433.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): After-hours breakout on higher prints suggests a “gap-and-go” or “retest then go.” If first 30–60 minutes hold >423.5–424, path opens to 429–433. Under 420 turns it into a simple breakout retest.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 429.50; 432.50; 436.00
– Entries: 420.50–422.50 retest zone; add on reclaim of 424 with strength
– Stops: 418.00 (tighter); 414.80 (below session low) for swing
4) MTSI (MACOM Technology Solutions)
– Daily key support: 213.00; 211.00; 208.80
– Daily key resistance/supply: 214.60; 216.80; 219.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Big volume expansion into the close, clean higher-highs. Expect an early dip to 211.8–213.0 and a push toward 215–217 if buyers reappear. Momentum intact while >211.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 215.80; 217.90; 219.80
– Entries: 211.80–212.60 pullback; or 214.70 break with volume
– Stops: 209.20 (below session low structure)
5) KRYS (Krystal Biotech)
– Daily key support: 290.00; 286.00; 283.90
– Daily key resistance/supply: 292.90 (HOD); 295.00; 300.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Strong trend day, shallow pullbacks. Over 292.9, look for 294.5–297.5. First dip-buy zone 289.5–290.5; momentum cools only under ~286.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 294.50; 297.50; 300.00
– Entries: 289.50–290.50; add on 293.00 hold
– Stops: 286.50 (beneath the higher-low shelf)
6) IBP (Installed Building Products)
– Daily key support: 310.20; 309.30; 307.20
– Daily key resistance/supply: 312.35; 314.00; 316.50
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Late-day push and close near highs signal continuation potential. Expect chop 309.5–312 early; sustained bid above 312.35 targets mid-314s.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): 313.80; 315.90; 317.80
– Entries: 309.60–310.60 pullback; or on 312.40 reclaim with volume
– Stops: 307.00 (below day’s demand)
Risk management and execution notes
– Leverage caution: AGQ and NUGT are 2x products—size down and respect tighter stops.
– First hour matters: Given the after-hours strength, look for a quick retest of breakout bases (AGQ ~236; HII ~420–424; MTSI ~212–213). Failed retests are your first tell to step aside.
– Target taking: Scale at T1, move stop to breakeven or above last higher-low; leave a runner for T2/T3 if momentum persists.
– If futures or overnight metals tone flips risk-off, prioritize defense (HII) and relative-strength tech (MTSI) over leveraged metals ETFs.
Honorable mentions to monitor (not primary picks here)
– FNV (steady bid in gold royalty), HOV (late ramp in homebuilder), MPWR/KLAC (firm in semis), IREN (crypto miner bid), IBP peers DHI/CCS (orderly).
This is a short-term momentum plan derived from today’s intraday structures; if you can share the full 30-day history, I can refine levels with broader daily supply/demand and true ATRs.