Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (data window and limitations)
- Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2026-02-05 13:30 to 19:30. The dataset contains late-session and after-hours 30-minute bars for many tickers on a single day; it does not include full 30 days. I’ll emphasize the most recent 10 “trading hours” equivalent you provided and infer short-term momentum from the close/after-hours action. Any 1–3 day projections below are therefore based on this truncated window plus typical momentum behavior around strong/weak closes.
What stood out by group
- Transports/Logistics (ARCB, SAIA, ODFL, JBHT, UNP, NSC, XPO): Broad relative strength into the close, led by ARCB and SAIA which pushed/held near highs with rising late-day volume. ODFL and UNP held steady; NSC was quiet. This cohort looks set for continuation if the tape stays risk-on.
- Industrials/Cap Goods (TT, PH, ITT, ITW, GWW, LECO, LII, WSO, WWD, MOG-A, NEU): Mixed. TT showed the cleanest relative strength with after-hours prints probing higher. Several quality names (PH, ITW, GWW, WWD) faded mid/late session and stabilized but didn’t reclaim highs—neutral to slightly cautious near term unless they gap green.
- Energy/Refining (MPC): Bid held all afternoon with a small after-hours breakout—constructive for a 1–2 day push.
- Financials (FCNCA, CB, CACC, MBIN): FCNCA trended up all session with a strong close—leadership vibes. Others were illiquid after-hours.
- Consumer Discretionary/Staples (ULTA, COST, HSY, SAM, SPB): ULTA coiled and closed firm; COST and HSY were steady; SAM slipped—mixed, with ULTA the standout.
- Semis/Tech (SITM, SLAB, TER, LITE, VIAV): Mixed-to-soft intraday with failed bounces (SITM, SLAB). TER flat. Not the leadership pocket on this tape.
- Metals/Miners & Crypto proxies (DUST, GDXD, BITI, ETHD): Inverse gold miner products (DUST/GDXD) ramped late—miners under pressure. Inverse BTC proxies (BITI) spiked then faded, ETHD volatile—crypto tone was weak-to-choppy after-hours.
Notable short-term patterns
- Strength into the bell and/or after-hours upticks: ARCB, SAIA, TT, MPC, FCNCA, ULTA.
- Fades from intraday highs: ITW, GWW, WWD, SITM, SLAB, SAM—less attractive for immediate upside unless they gap and go.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue higher (strong bullish signals from close/AH behavior and relative strength):
– ARCB, SAIA, TT, MPC, FCNCA, ULTA
Secondary watchlist (constructive but slightly less clean): R (Ryder), WSO, CASY
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: With no 30-day daily candles supplied, “key levels” are derived from the provided session’s swing highs/lows plus clean round-number pivots. For swing targets, I use both nearby resistance and a conservative “ATR proxy” equal to the session’s high-low range you provided.
1) ARCB
– Bias: Bullish continuation after steady higher highs and a firm close.
– Key supports: 109.00–109.10 (intraday pivot), 108.50, 108.25 (session low)
– Key resistances: 109.79 (HOD), 110.00 (round), 110.50 (extension)
– 30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days): Look for a buy-the-dip open or early pullback to 108.9–109.3, then a push through 109.8–110. A strong push above 110 likely attracts momentum into 110.5–111.2.
– ATR proxy: ~1.5 (109.79–108.25).
– Price targets (1–3 days): R1 109.8–110.0; R2 111.2 (R1 + ~1.2); R3 112.7 (R1 + ~1.5).
– Entry: 109.0–109.3 on pullbacks; add on 110.0 breakout if volume confirms.
– Stop-loss: 108.15 (below session low and demand shelf).
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2) SAIA
– Bias: Bullish; reclaimed and held near the top of the day’s range late.
– Key supports: 402.10–402.30, 401.66, 400.85
– Key resistances: 405.18–405.73 (session resistance zone), 407.00, 409.50
– 30-minute outlook: Expect early testing of 404–405; a clean break/hold above 405.7 opens a measured run.
– ATR proxy: ~4.9–5.0 (405.73–400.84).
– Price targets: R1 405.7; R2 408.0–409.0; R3 410.5–411.0 (using ~1x ATR proxy from the breakout).
– Entry: 402.5–403.5 retest with buyers stepping in; or 405.8 breakout with volume.
– Stop-loss: 400.7 (beneath day’s demand).
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3) TT
– Bias: Bullish consolidation; after-hours probes toward 438s signal interest above.
– Key supports: 436.00, 435.00, 434.56 (session low)
– Key resistances: 438.67 (AH print), 440.00, 442.00
– 30-minute outlook: Expect a tight open; strength above 438.7 targets 440–442 quickly.
– ATR proxy: ~2.0 (436.54–434.56).
– Price targets: R1 438.7–440; R2 441.5; R3 442.5–443 (R1 + ATR proxy).
– Entry: 435.8–436.2 with reversal signal; or momentum add over 438.8.
– Stop-loss: 434.2 (below the session low and round).
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4) MPC
– Bias: Constructive—steady advance and after-hours breakout toward 196.5.
– Key supports: 195.30, 194.53–194.60, 194.00
– Key resistances: 196.55 (AH high), 197.00, 198.00
– 30-minute outlook: Early pullback toward 195.7–196.0 likely gets bought; reclaim of 196.55 can trend.
– ATR proxy: ~1.3–1.5 (in-session range 195.83–194.52; AH extended to ~196.55).
– Price targets: R1 196.6–197.0; R2 197.8; R3 198.5–198.8 (R1 + ATR proxy).
– Entry: 195.7–196.0 on dip; add on 196.6 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 194.4 (below intraday shelf).
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5) FCNCA
– Bias: Bullish trend day with higher lows and higher highs into the bell.
– Key supports: 2111.0–2111.5, 2107.9, 2104.5
– Key resistances: 2123.2 (HOD), 2130, 2140
– 30-minute outlook: Continuation structure—buyers likely defend 2110–2113; a push >2123 can extend in a grind higher.
– ATR proxy: ~25 (2123.17–2098.33).
– Price targets: R1 2123–2130; R2 2140–2145; R3 2150–2155 (using partial of ATR proxy due to the stock’s wide absolute range).
– Entry: 2110–2113 pullback into prior resistance turned support.
– Stop-loss: 2103 (below the afternoon base).
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6) ULTA
– Bias: Bullish coil; buyers defended 673–674 and pushed back to 677–678 late.
– Key supports: 673.5, 671.7, 670.0
– Key resistances: 678.3 (session high zone), 680.0, 684–685
– 30-minute outlook: Range break setup—watch 678–680 for expansion; dips to 673–675 likely bought.
– ATR proxy: ~6.6 (678.28–671.68).
– Price targets: R1 678–680; R2 683–685; R3 688–690 (R1 + ATR proxy segments).
– Entry: 674.5–675.5 with reversal signal; or 678.4 breakout with volume.
– Stop-loss: 671.2 (beneath session low area).
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Risk notes and execution tips
- Liquidity: Several names had thin after-hours prints. Prioritize execution during regular hours around the identified zones.
- Confirmation: For breakout entries, require rising 5–15 min volume vs prior bar and hold above the level for 5–10 minutes.
- Position sizing: Use tighter sizing on higher-dollar names (FCNCA, ULTA) and widen stops in dollar terms only if you proportionally reduce size to maintain consistent risk per trade.
- If the market opens risk-off: Focus on the best bases (ARCB, FCNCA). If transports gap down but reclaim VWAP quickly, the long thesis can still be valid.
If you can share the last 30 trading days (daily candles with volume) for these tickers, I can refine the support/resistance with higher confidence and incorporate true 14-day ATR for target setting.