Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range reviewed: 2025-12-11 13:30 to 19:30)
Note: The uploaded tape covers the afternoon and after-hours of a single session. I’m basing the momentum read on this session’s price/volume behavior versus typical behavior for each group.
- Semis/AI hardware (AVGO, MU, WDC, STX, LITE, COHR, KLAC): Broad weakness and supply overhead after recent strength. AVGO whipsawed on heavy volume and closed toward the lower half of its AH range; MU bled from 257s to mid-255s and held there; WDC, STX drifted lower; LITE/COHR sold and stabilized. Read: near-term consolidation/mean reversion likely; dips could get bought later, but immediate 1–3 day momentum favors select non-semi names.
- Software/Cloud/Internet (ADBE, NOW, MDB, SPOT): Mixed/sideways. ADBE pinned tightly; NOW faded intraday then stabilized; MDB ticked down AH; SPOT illiquid and flat. Read: no fresh momentum edge here from the tape alone.
- Communications/Media (WBD, EXPE): WBD showed accumulation with heavy AH volume and held 30; EXPE range-bound. Read: WBD stands out on relative strength and liquidity.
- Consumer discretionary/retail (ULTA, VSCO, DDS, RCL): ULTA posted strong intraday push and held 593 AH; VSCO bounced AH but still below day’s mid; DDS strong intraday range; RCL quiet. Read: ULTA shows the cleanest setup for follow-through.
- Industrials/capital goods (URI, GWW, PH, CAT, HUBB, POWL): Mostly steady; GWW/HUBB firm; POWL slipped; CAT/PH/URI flat. Read: Neutral to slightly constructive.
- Metals/miners/precious ETFs (AGQ, GDXU, JNUG, USAS): AGQ faded then stabilized; GDXU/JNUG tight and soft; silver miners mixed. Read: metals momentum not confirmed yet.
- Energy/renewables (KOLD, SHLS, NRGV): KOLD slightly bid (implies nat gas weakness); SHLS flat; NRGV ticked higher into the close. Read: mildly constructive for NRGV tactical bounce.
- Small/mid-cap momentum/spec biotech and space/crypto adjacents (MIGI, IRBT, RKLB, PL, VELO, DBRG):
- MIGI had multiple higher pushes toward 5.6–5.7 on expanding AH volume before a small pullback—constructive.
- IRBT firmed from 4.92 to 5.02 into the close—buyers present at lows.
- RKLB stair-stepped higher all session (62.6 to 62.9) and closed near highs—classic grind.
- PL climbed from 17.15 to 17.39—accumulation feel and higher highs.
- VELO advanced steadily to test 13—orderly bid and higher lows.
- DBRG popped from 15.15 to 15.49 then held 15.45—fresh momentum.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside candidates, ranked by quality of tape/continuity:
– WBD (media accumulation above 30 with heavy volume)
– ULTA (strong intraday impulse, held gains)
– RKLB (orderly grind higher into the close)
– PL (higher highs/lows, consistent buyers)
– VELO (structure improving, pressing 13)
– MIGI (momentum bursts with responsive dip buying)
– DBRG (fresh breakout attempt with holds)
– IRBT (speculative rebound; tight risk)
Stocks showing strongest bullish signals: WBD, ULTA, RKLB, PL.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)
WBD
– Support: 29.80; 29.95–30.00; 29.50
– Resistance: 30.35; 30.75; 31.20
– 30-minute outlook: Expect an early test of 30.00/VWAP; holds above 30.00 favor a push to 30.35, then a grind toward 30.75 if volume stays elevated.
– Entry: 30.00–30.10 on a hold/reclaim of 30.00; add on 30.35 breakout with volume.
– Stops: 29.65 (below 29.80 shelf) or tighter 29.85 if scalping.
– 1–3 day targets: 30.35; 30.75; stretch 31.20 if momentum broadens.
–
ULTA
– Support: 591.70; 593.20; 590.00
– Resistance: 596.80; 600.00; 604.00
– 30-minute outlook: Look for a slight dip to 592–593 and a higher low; reclaim of 595 sets up 596.8 retest and potential 600 handle tap.
– Entry: 592–593 on constructive pullback; momentum add above 596.8.
– Stops: 588.00 (below day structure); tighter 590.90 if using a momentum stop.
– 1–3 day targets: 596.8; 600; 604.
–
RKLB
– Support: 62.50; 62.70; 62.20
– Resistance: 63.00; 63.30; 63.80
– 30-minute outlook: Continuation grind favored while holding 62.70; clean break/hold above 63 can accelerate toward 63.30–63.80.
– Entry: 62.70–62.85 on holds; add through 63.00 with volume.
– Stops: 62.25.
– 1–3 day targets: 63.00; 63.30; 63.80.
–
PL
– Support: 17.15; 17.25; 16.90
– Resistance: 17.43; 17.60; 17.90
– 30-minute outlook: Buy dips into 17.20–17.28 if VWAP holds; breakout through 17.43 can trend toward 17.60/17.90.
– Entry: 17.20–17.28; add on 17.43 break.
– Stops: 17.05 (beneath demand zone).
– 1–3 day targets: 17.43; 17.60; 17.90.
–
VELO
– Support: 12.55; 12.80; 12.31
– Resistance: 13.00; 13.20; 13.50
– 30-minute outlook: Expect a squeeze attempt through 13.00 if early dips to ~12.80 get bought; momentum can carry to 13.20.
– Entry: 12.80–12.90 higher-low; add above 13.00.
– Stops: 12.55.
– 1–3 day targets: 13.00; 13.20; 13.45–13.50.
–
MIGI
– Support: 5.33; 5.45; 5.20
– Resistance: 5.60; 5.69; 5.80
– 30-minute outlook: Momentum bursts favored while holding 5.45; if 5.60 reclaims with volume, expect a quick test of 5.69.
– Entry: 5.45–5.52 on dips; add on 5.60 break.
– Stops: 5.28.
– 1–3 day targets: 5.60; 5.69; stretch 5.80–6.00 if risk-on flows persist.
–
DBRG
– Support: 15.20; 15.33; 15.15
– Resistance: 15.49; 15.60; 15.90
– 30-minute outlook: Fresh breakout attempt; hold above 15.33 favors retest of 15.49 and grind to 15.60.
– Entry: 15.30–15.36 on hold; add through 15.49 with volume.
– Stops: 15.10.
– 1–3 day targets: 15.49; 15.60; 15.90.
–
IRBT (speculative)
– Support: 4.90; 4.96; 4.80
– Resistance: 5.02; 5.10; 5.25
– 30-minute outlook: Oversold bounce candidate; a firm open above 5.00 can target 5.10 quickly; failure to hold 4.96 likely back to 4.90.
– Entry: 4.96–5.00 hold; add through 5.02.
– Stops: 4.85.
– 1–3 day targets: 5.10; 5.25; 5.40 if squeeze.
–
What to fade/avoid short term
– Semis as a group (AVGO, MU, WDC, STX, LITE, COHR, KLAC): Prefer waiting for a clearer higher low after this session’s supply.
– Precious metals levered products (AGQ, GDXU, JNUG): Momentum signals are mixed/soft; wait for strength confirmation over intraday highs.
Risk notes
– Many names are thin AH; confirm levels on regular-hours liquidity/VWAP before entries.
– For ATR-based sizing, use your platform’s current ATR(14). My targets emphasize nearby supply levels; if a full 1x ATR move exceeds R2/R3, trail stops accordingly.