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$20+|20%+ Wk Thursday 10/23/2025

October 23, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range covered: 2025-10-23 13:30 to 19:30)

Note: The data provided covers intraday action on 2025-10-23. I’m weighting conclusions toward 1–3 day momentum continuation based on this 30-minute tape.

  • Technology (software, semis, cyber): Broadly constructive. Semis showed steady demand: KLAC (1155→1163 H, closed 1160), MPWR (1062→1075 H, closed 1070), PI (238→244 H, closed 241). Software momentum was selective: PEGA trended all session (64.2→65.9 H, closed 65.6), NOW pushed late (933→940 H, closed 939). Cyber was flat-to-muted (CRWD pinned ~522; CYBR range-bound ~506-508). Large-cap tech was quiet/slightly bid (META ~735-736; ADBE ~354).
  • Industrials/Aero-Defense: Strong bid and late-day strength. TDG stair-stepped to new highs (1336→1350 close), PH trended (757→767 close), RBC advanced (401.7→407.5 close). CRS (metals/alloy) surged into the close (294→301).
  • Energy/Services: Modest improvement aligned with OIH uptick (280 AH print). PUMP broke out (6.14→6.33 on heavy volume). HAL/PTEN/LBRT were steady but not momentum leaders.
  • Healthcare/Biotech: Mixed. Large-cap tools and medtech (TMO, WAT, MTD) had orderly climbs; WST printed a late AH downtick to 299.9 (watch for noise). Providers mixed (HCA faded to 440; HUM stable). Small-cap biotech choppy-to-soft (VTYX rangey; GNPX faded; AVDL steady).
  • Consumer/Payments: MELI showed leadership (2149 H, 2148 close). AXP/MA flat-to-choppy; nothing decisive.
  • Crypto-linked: ETHZ/QBTZ both sold off late; risk-off within crypto proxies.

Takeaway: Rotation favors industrials/aerospace and select semis and enterprise software breakouts (TDG, PH, CRS, KLAC, PEGA). Crypto proxies and many small-cap bios remain offered. Expect continuation in leaders over the next 1–3 sessions barring headline shocks.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside continuation:
– TDG, PH, CRS, KLAC, PEGA, MELI, PUMP (speculative)
Strongest bullish signals (closing near highs on rising volume/range expansion):
– TDG, PH, PEGA, CRS

Individual Stock Analysis
Method: Key levels from today’s intraday supply/demand and obvious round numbers; ATR approximated from today’s range to size targets. Entries are pullback-to-support or breakout-through-resistance. Stops align with nearby invalidation.

1) PEGA
– Supports: 65.10–65.20; 64.78; 64.20
– Resistances: 65.93 (session high); 66.80; 67.50
– 2–3 day outlook (30-min): Favor a 65.2–65.4 early back-test; hold sets up 66.0/66.2 break and push toward 66.8–67.5. Failure below 64.8 likely mean-reverts to 64.2.
– Targets (ATR≈2.2): T1 66.80; T2 67.50; T3 68.20
– Entries: 65.20–65.40 retest; or 66.00–66.20 breakout
– Stop-loss: 64.70 (tight), or 64.20 (swing)
finviz dynamic chart for  PEGA

2) TDG
– Supports: 1346.8; 1340.1–1341.2; 1336.5
– Resistances: 1350.8 (HOD); 1355; 1362
– 2–3 day outlook: Look for 1346–1348 absorption then 1351 breakout continuation. Trend intact while >1340. Under 1336.5 weakens setup.
– Targets (ATR≈14): T1 1355–1356; T2 1360–1362; T3 1368–1370
– Entries: 1346–1348 pullback; 1351–1352 breakout
– Stop-loss: 1340 (tight), or 1336 (swing)
finviz dynamic chart for  TDG

3) PH
– Supports: 764.2; 762.3; 758.6
– Resistances: 766.9 (HOD); 770; 775
– 2–3 day outlook: Buy dips toward 764–765 for a push through 767; momentum likely carries to 770–775 range. Loss of 762 opens 758–759 retest.
– Targets (ATR≈10): T1 770–771; T2 774–775; T3 780
– Entries: 764.5–765.2 pullback; 767.0–767.5 breakout
– Stop-loss: 762.0 (tight), or 758.5 (swing)
finviz dynamic chart for  PH

4) CRS
– Supports: 299.8; 298.5; 295.4
– Resistances: 301.0; 303.0; 305.0
– 2–3 day outlook: Strong close favors 299.5–300 hold and 301 breakout. Above 301, expect 303 first, then 305. Below 298.5 risks a fade to 295s.
– Targets (ATR≈7): T1 301.8–302.5; T2 304–305; T3 307
– Entries: 299.0–299.8 pullback; 301.1–301.5 breakout
– Stop-loss: 297.6 (tight), or 295.3 (swing)
finviz dynamic chart for  CRS

5) KLAC
– Supports: 1158–1159; 1157.1; 1155.5
– Resistances: 1163.1; 1166; 1172
– 2–3 day outlook: Expect a narrow dip buy near 1158–1159; reclaim >1163 opens 1166 then 1170s. Lose 1155.5 and momentum stalls.
– Targets (ATR≈7.6): T1 1163–1164; T2 1168–1170; T3 1174–1176
– Entries: 1158–1159 pullback; 1163.2–1163.5 breakout
– Stop-loss: 1155.0–1155.5
finviz dynamic chart for  KLAC

6) MELI
– Supports: 2140–2145; 2130; 2126
– Resistances: 2150; 2165; 2180
– 2–3 day outlook: Strong close near HOD suggests a 2140–2145 test then 2150 reclaim for 2165. Momentum continuation while >2130.
– Targets (ATR≈34): T1 2160–2165; T2 2178–2180; T3 2195–2200
– Entries: 2140–2145 pullback; 2150.5–2152 breakout
– Stop-loss: 2130 (tight), or 2126 (swing)
finviz dynamic chart for  MELI

7) PUMP (spec, small-cap)
– Supports: 6.30–6.33; 6.22; 6.14
– Resistances: 6.40; 6.50; 6.65
– 2–3 day outlook: Volume-backed move suggests follow-through if 6.30–6.33 holds. Break of 6.40 targets 6.50 next. Below 6.22, momentum likely stalls.
– Targets (ATR≈0.19): T1 6.45; T2 6.55; T3 6.65
– Entries: 6.28–6.33 pullback; 6.36–6.40 breakout
– Stop-loss: 6.20 (tight), or 6.12 (swing)
finviz dynamic chart for  PUMP

Bonus watchlist (constructive but slightly lower conviction): NOW (pullback buy 934–936 for 942–946), RBC (buy 405–406 for 409–412), MPWR (buy 1066–1069 for 1074–1080). If you want levels/plan for these, say the word.

Risk Management Notes
– If the market opens with gaps, wait for first 15–30 minutes to confirm holds above stated supports before executing.
– Trail stops under higher lows once T1 is hit; scale out into targets rather than aiming for full run.
– Avoid adding to losers; if invalidation triggers, step aside and reassess.

Overall, stick with strength in industrials/aero and select semis/software leaders for 1–3 day momentum continuation while crypto proxies and many small-cap bios remain distributive.

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