Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window reviewed)
– Data window received: 2025-11-17 from approximately 13:30–19:30 EST (intraday and after-hours). No prior 30-day data was provided, so the commentary below is driven by today’s late-session 30‑minute bars and closing behavior, which I use to infer 1–3 day momentum potential.
– Sector tone from this basket: Biotech/Pharma dominated the tape with several late-day pushes and strong closes (SRRK, MDGL, PRAX, KALV, CNTA, NEOV), often followed by after-hours continuation—classic day-one-to-day-two momentum setups. Large-cap biopharma was mixed to soft (LLY flat, REGN faded, ARGX indecisive). Managed care (ELV) faded into the close. Consumer discretionary/auto retail (AZO) and aerospace/defense (TDG) were neutral-to-soft late day. Ad-tech and e‑commerce (PUBM, REAL) lacked conviction. UVIX (volatility ETP) finished firm, and a crypto-linked ETP (QBTZ) popped into the evening—suggesting a rising near-term volatility bid and speculative risk appetite outside core equities.
– Notable patterns:
– Biotech strength clustered in the 15:30–16:00 window with closes near highs and above-VWAP action (SRRK, MDGL, PRAX), followed by constructive AH prints (CNTA, ONC). This setup often produces day-two continuation.
– Several small/mid-cap bios printed range expansions on elevated volume in the final 30–60 minutes (SRRK, PRAX, KALV), a favorable tell for 1–3 day swing momentum.
– Heavyweights (REGN, ELV) closing weak suggests stock-picking (not broad beta) is driving the move.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Most likely to continue higher (bullish momentum signals strongest first):
– SRRK – strong close near HOD with volume spike; clean continuation setup above 36.66.
– PRAX – range expansion and close near highs; AH continuation; potential day-two push.
– MDGL – closed at session highs after sustained buy-pressure into the bell.
– CNTA – AH breakout to 28.02 after basing; room for follow-through if 27.50 holds.
– ONC – significant AH surge; news/flow-driven, but levels favor an attempt toward 392–400 if 380 holds.
– KALV – late-day momentum and heavy volume into 14.97; constructive pullback.
– NEOV – orderly staircase higher; 5.10 breakout trigger in view.
Individual Stock Analysis (setups, key levels, entries, stops, targets)
Note: Levels derived from today’s intraday pivots and obvious round/supply-demand zones; ATR-based extensions use today’s high-low range as a proxy.
1) SRRK
– Snapshot/Thesis: Closed 36.66/36.54 area with strong 15:30–16:00 push; primed for a day-two continuation above HOD.
– Support: 36.20; 35.93; 35.80
– Resistance: 36.66 (HOD); 37.10; 37.50 (approx ATR extension)
– Next 2–3 day view: Expect early test of 36.20–36.30; holding leads to 36.66 breakout, then 37s. Failure below 35.80 delays the move.
– Entries: 36.20–36.30 on pullback; add on 36.70–36.75 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 35.75 (tight); wider swing stop 35.60.
– Targets (1–3 days): 36.65–36.70; 37.10–37.20; 37.50.
2) PRAX
– Snapshot/Thesis: Range expansion to 197.6 with AH prints near 199; classic day-one burst into potential day-two continuation.
– Support: 195.00; 193.80; 191.50
– Resistance: 199.00; 202.00; 205.00
– Next 2–3 day view: Favor a tight flag over 195–196 early; break through 199 opens 202 then 205. Lose 193.8 and momentum likely pauses.
– Entries: 195.20–196.00 pullback; breakout add above 199.20.
– Stop-loss: 193.50 (tight); 191.90 (swing).
– Targets: 199.50–200.00; 202.00–203.00; 205.00.
3) MDGL
– Snapshot/Thesis: Persistent strength into the close; finished at session highs. Momentum skewed up if dips are bought.
– Support: 549.90; 547.50; 543.00
– Resistance: 555.12 (HOD); 560.00; 565.00
– Next 2–3 day view: Look for early digestion 549–552; reclaim/hold above 553–555 likely pushes 560 then 565. A break under 547.5 signals deeper backfill.
– Entries: 550.0–551.5 pullback; add through 555.5.
– Stop-loss: 546.5 (tight); 543.0 (swing).
– Targets: 555.0–556.0; 560.0–561.5; 565.0.
4) CNTA
– Snapshot/Thesis: AH breakout to 28.02 after weak close; suggests pent-up demand. Needs 27.50–27.60 to act as new floor.
– Support: 27.50; 27.30; 27.00
– Resistance: 28.02; 28.50; 29.00
– Next 2–3 day view: Holding 27.50 turns the 28.02 level into a trigger toward 28.50; momentum can carry into 29 on a strong tape.
– Entries: 27.55–27.65 pullback; add on 28.05–28.10 break/hold.
– Stop-loss: 27.20.
– Targets: 28.20; 28.50; 28.90–29.00.
5) ONC
– Snapshot/Thesis: Big AH surge to ~387; highly flow/news-driven. If 380–381 holds, squeeze risk higher remains elevated.
– Support: 381.00; 376.62; 372.00
– Resistance: 387.37; 392.00; 400.00
– Next 2–3 day view: Expect volatility at the open; hold above 381 and attack 387–392; strong continuation can magnet 399–400. Lose 376.6 and the move may retrace.
– Entries: 380.5–382.0 on controlled dip; breakout add above 387.5 with confirmation.
– Stop-loss: 375.5 (tight due to volatility).
– Targets: 387.0–388.0; 392.0–395.0; 399.0–400.0.
6) KALV
– Snapshot/Thesis: Strong 15:30 push to 14.97 with high volume; constructive close 14.84; looks like a rest-before-break setup.
– Support: 14.68–14.72; 14.55; 14.40
– Resistance: 14.97; 15.20; 15.50
– Next 2–3 day view: Hold 14.68–14.72 early; reclaim 14.95–14.97 for a push into 15.20; extension possible to 15.50 on a hot biotech tape.
– Entries: 14.70–14.78 pullback; add on 14.98–15.00 break.
– Stop-loss: 14.48.
– Targets: 14.95–15.00; 15.20–15.25; 15.45–15.50.
7) NEOV
– Snapshot/Thesis: Steady stair-step higher; 5.10 has acted as supply—clean over/under level for continuation.
– Support: 5.00; 4.96; 4.90
– Resistance: 5.10; 5.25; 5.35–5.40
– Next 2–3 day view: A firm 5.00 bid and push through 5.10 targets 5.25 first; extension toward 5.35–5.40 if volume expands.
– Entries: 5.00–5.03 pullback; add on 5.11–5.12 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 4.94.
– Targets: 5.12–5.15; 5.25–5.28; 5.35–5.40.
Additional watch (liquidity caveat): MSTZ showed AH higher highs into 11.89 but on thin volume—momentum-friendly intraday, but size appropriately.
Risk notes
– The sample provided lacked 10–30 day context; treat these as momentum-continuation trades, not long-term position calls. If the open gaps sharply against levels, wait for a fresh 30–60 minute structure to form before entries.
– Many of these are small/mid-cap biotech names—expect wider spreads and headline risk. Use hard stops and scale sizing to volatility.