Overall sector and industry analysis (EST range analyzed: 2025-10-06 13:30–19:30)
- Big picture rotations
- Crypto/Blockchain complex showed the most consistent bid into the late session: ETH ETFs (ETHT/ETHU) ticked higher, with miners IREN, HIVE, CIFR firming and printing higher lows into the final hours, while COIN/MSTR were steady. This points to continued crypto-beta momentum short term.
- Semiconductors softened into the last two hours: SOXL and SMH faded; large caps like AMD, MU, MPWR, KLAC, ASML all saw late-day supply. That reads as digestion after prior strength rather than trend reversal, but near-term leaders are elsewhere.
- Energy storage and next-gen battery names were mixed but saw buyers into the close in selective tickers: SLDP reclaimed the day’s range highs; QS lagged; LAC held firm.
- Aerospace/Defense broadly stable to firm: AVAV held near highs, LMT/NOC steady, RKLB range-bound.
- Biotech/Healthcare mixed: mega-caps (LLY, AMGN, REGN) were mostly flat-to-soft; selective SMIDs showed momentum (APLX late-day strength; LAES accumulation-style buying; CRML range expansion).
- Data centers/AI infra: APLD stair-stepped higher in a tight range, showing relative strength versus semi ETFs.
- Notable patterns (30-min tape)
- Persistent higher lows and strong closing tone in crypto miners (IREN, HIVE, CIFR) while ETH products (ETHT/ETHU) lifted — a constructive breadth tell for the group.
- Range expansion in small/mid caps with volume (LAES, CRML), a common prelude to 1–3 day momentum swings.
- Semis’ late-day supply (AMD, MU, SOXL/SMH) suggests a brief pause/rotation rather than broad risk-off.
Tickers with the highest probability to rise in the next 2–3 days
- Strongest bullish setups (momentum + volume + closing tone)
- IREN, HIVE, CIFR (crypto miners)
- SLDP (solid-state battery)
- LAES (small-cap industrial/tech services)
- APLX (biotech; late-session strength)
- Secondary watch: APLD, LAC
Individual stock analysis (levels, plan, and targets)
Note: Key daily levels reflect obvious recent supply/demand zones and round-number pivots; ATR estimates are inferred from today’s ranges and recent behavior. Validate with your platform at the open.
1) IREN
– Daily support: 58.00, 56.00, 54.00
– Daily resistance: 61.20, 62.00–62.50, 65.00
– 30-min read: Strong push 57.9 → 62.0, then orderly pullback holding 60–60.7 into the close, with sustained volume. Buyers defended dips; momentum intact if 59.8–60.3 holds.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~4–5): 61.70, 63.80, stretch 65.20
– Entry: Pullbacks into 60.10–60.60 or a reclaim over 61.20 after a higher low.
– Stop: 58.30 (below last defended demand); conservative traders 57.80.
2) HIVE
– Daily support: 5.80, 5.60, 5.40
– Daily resistance: 6.16–6.20 (HOD zone), 6.50, 6.80
– 30-min read: Series of higher highs and higher lows; surge to 6.16 late with elevated volume. Continuation likely while above 5.80–5.90.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~0.35–0.45): 6.20, 6.50, stretch 6.80
– Entry: 5.92–6.00 pullback, or 6.18 breakout with volume confirmation.
– Stop: 5.72; tighter stop 5.79 if entering on strength.
3) CIFR
– Daily support: 15.20, 14.90, 14.50
– Daily resistance: 15.65, 16.00, 16.50
– 30-min read: Stair-step grind higher 15.30 → 15.65 with steady inflows; shallow pullbacks bought. Looks like a base stepping toward 16 if crypto stays bid.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~0.35–0.45): 15.80, 16.10–16.20, stretch 16.50
– Entry: 15.30–15.40 on dip, or reclaim over 15.65 after a brief flag.
– Stop: 14.98 (below base floor); wider stop 14.80 if using earlier entry.
4) SLDP
– Daily support: 5.45, 5.30, 5.10
– Daily resistance: 5.70, 6.00, 6.30
– 30-min read: Sold early (5.34) then reclaimed and closed at session highs (5.69) with improving breadth. A classic reversal day that often sees 1–2 day follow-through.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~0.30–0.40): 5.85, 6.05–6.10, stretch 6.30
– Entry: 5.52–5.60 pullback to rising support, or breakout through 5.70 with volume.
– Stop: 5.29 (below reclaim); tighter 5.38 if active risk control.
5) LAES
– Daily support: 4.90, 4.75, 4.60
– Daily resistance: 5.10, 5.30, 5.50
– 30-min read: Accumulation footprint — sequential higher lows, rising volume into the close to 5.03. Thin tape but constructive for a 1–2 day push.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~0.25–0.30): 5.15, 5.30, stretch 5.50
– Entry: 4.92–4.98 on dip; or 5.05–5.07 on breakout with time-and-sales confirmation.
– Stop: 4.74 (beneath demand zone); aggressive traders can use 4.84.
6) APLX
– Daily support: 89.00, 87.50, 85.00
– Daily resistance: 92.50, 95.00, 98.00
– 30-min read: Strong late-day recovery from high-80s to >92 with follow-through after-hours — a sign of fresh demand. Any controlled dip that holds 89–90 keeps the sequence bullish.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~2.5–3.5): 93.50, 95.50, stretch 98.00
– Entry: 90.20–90.80 pullback; or reclaim over 92.50 after a tight flag.
– Stop: 88.40 (below support cluster); tighter 89.20 if buying a breakout.
Secondary watch: APLD
– Tight uptrend channel 27.9–28.2 with controlled ranges and steady demand. A break/hold above 28.20 opens 28.60–29.00. Support 27.70, 27.40, 27.00. Consider 27.80–27.95 entries; stop 27.39.
Trading notes and risk management
- Confirmation: Extended-hours prints can be thin; confirm levels at the cash open with volume and VWAP posture.
- Sector tailwinds: Crypto strength is the clearest near-term factor; if ETHT/ETHU remain constructive, miners (IREN/HIVE/CIFR) have the highest odds of follow-through.
- Semis: Expect chop/digestion; use quicker takes if trading them; momentum edge presently favors crypto miners and selective small-caps.
- Sizing/Stops: Respect liquidity and volatility. Use smaller size on thinner names (LAES/APLX) and honor stops, as ranges can expand quickly.
If you want, I can compute precise 10-/30-day ATRs and daily swing levels from your full daily data to refine targets and stops further.