$20+|20%+ Wk Friday 9/26/2025

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed)

• Time window covered by the data you provided: 2025-09-26 from 13:30 to 19:30 ET (intraday and after-hours slices).
• Important limitation: the dataset only includes a few hours from one session, not 30 days. I’ll lean on the latest 30–60 minute flows, late-day strength/weakness, and after-hours continuation as a proxy for short-term momentum.

Sector/industry takeaways

• Defense/Aerospace: Constructive, with steady late-day bids.

– NOC pushed to new session highs into the close (594.7 print), holding gains; AVAV held >301 after a ramp. This “closing at/near HOD” behavior often carries to day 2.

• Consumer Discretionary (Specialty Retail/Auto Parts/Beauty): Strong.

– AZO and ULTA ground higher into the close and printed new session highs late. Buyers were active on shallow pullbacks—classic momentum continuation setup.

• Tech/Software: Mixed but select large-cap leaders look bid.

– APP stair-stepped higher in AH toward 674–675 and closed firm; FICO held a tight grind higher—breadth is okay though semis (INTC) were flat to slightly bid.

• Biotech/Medtech: Selective strength with clean late-day breakouts.

– SRRK trended all afternoon and pinned 39.00; VOR closed at the HOD (33.61); SLDB and KOD showed constructive pushes. Other bios were mixed/illiquid (QURE, CRVS, LRMR).

• Energy/Materials: Mixed. Traditional energy weak-to-flat (AMPY/FLNC), but lithium (LAC) had capitulation-like flush and strong rebound—often a tradable 1–2 day bounce setup.
• Real Estate: Soft.

– GMRE and WHLR were sideways-to-lower; no momentum edge.

• Small-cap specialty/other: Several thin names posted late-day breakouts (LXEO, SKYT, FTEL, EMPG, MOB). Thin floats can move quickly but require strict risk control.

Noticeable patterns

• Late-day breakout/close-near-HOD in NOC, ULTA, AZO, SRRK, VOR, LXEO, SKYT, APP—favors day-2 continuation.
• Strong AH prints (APP, EMPG, FTEL) with higher lows—often lead to morning gap-and-go attempts.
• Capitulation flush then reversal (LAC) suggests a near-term bounce if 6.00 holds.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to push higher (momentum/bullish signals):

• APP, SRRK, ULTA, AZO, NOC, MCK, VOR, LXEO, FTEL, EMPG, SKYT, LAC (speculative bounce), RGTX, SLDB.
• Strongest bullish signals (closed/held near HOD with volume or AH strength): SRRK, VOR, ULTA, AZO, NOC, APP, LXEO, SKYT.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Levels use today’s intraday structure plus nearby whole/half numbers that typically act as supply/demand on the daily. Use smaller size on thin names. Targets align with nearby resistance and typical 1–3 day ranges.

APP (AppLovin)

• Thesis: AH grind to 674–675 after steady higher-lows; watch day-2 continuation >675.
• Support: 670, 666, 660
• Resistance: 675, 680, 690
• 30-min view (next 2–3 days): First pullback toward 670–671, then a push through 675 opens 680–685. Failure at 675 likely backfill to 666 before reattempt.
• Entry: 670–671 on dip or 675.20–675.50 breakout.
• Stops: 665.80 (dip entry), 671.80 (breakout fail).
• Targets: 680, 685, 690.

SRRK (Scholar Rock)

• Thesis: Persistent trend day and close at 39; clean continuation candidate.
• Support: 38.40, 38.00, 37.70
• Resistance: 39.20–39.50, 40.00, 41.00
• 30-min view: Hold >38.6 → test 39.2–39.5; break/hold there unlocks 40–41 over 1–3 days. Loss of 38.0 delays.
• Entry: 38.60–38.90 retest or 39.25–39.35 break-and-hold.
• Stops: 38.05 (retest), 38.60 (breakout).
• Targets: 39.50, 40.00, 41.00.

ULTA (Ulta Beauty)

• Thesis: Trend grind higher; buyers defended every dip.
• Support: 548, 545, 540
• Resistance: 555, 560, 568
• 30-min view: Early dip into 548–550 likely bought; push into 555–560. If market risk-on, extension to mid-560s.
• Entry: 548–550.
• Stop: 544.50.
• Targets: 555, 560, 567–568.

AZO (AutoZone)

• Thesis: Higher-high into close; steady large-cap momentum.
• Support: 4180, 4170, 4150
• Resistance: 4205, 4220, 4250
• 30-min view: Hold >4180 → 4205 test; above 4205, 4220 next. Rejection likely revisits 4170–4180 demand.
• Entry: 4180–4190 pullback.
• Stop: 4168.
• Targets: 4205, 4220, 4245–4250.

NOC (Northrop Grumman)

• Thesis: Closed at session highs; strong defense flow.
• Support: 592.5, 590, 587
• Resistance: 596.5, 600, 605
• 30-min view: Early drift into 592–593 → buyers step in; break 596.5 points to 600–605 in 1–3 days.
• Entry: 592.8–593.5.
• Stop: 589.8.
• Targets: 596.5, 600.5, 604–605.

MCK (McKesson)

• Thesis: Late-day push and hold; steady RS in healthcare distributors.
• Support: 758, 756.5, 754.7
• Resistance: 762, 765, 770
• 30-min view: Hold 757–758.5 → test 762; break/hold opens 765–770. Weak tape could backfill 756s first.
• Entry: 757–758.5.
• Stop: 754.
• Targets: 762, 766, 769–770.

VOR (Vor Biopharma)

• Thesis: Closed on HOD; strong tape and volume expansion into the bell.
• Support: 33.10, 32.90, 32.75
• Resistance: 33.80, 34.20, 35.00
• 30-min view: Small dip to 33.10–33.30, then push to 33.8–34.2; with follow-through, 35 tag in 1–3 days.
• Entry: 33.10–33.30.
• Stop: 32.85.
• Targets: 33.80, 34.20, 34.90–35.00.

LXEO

• Thesis: Closed at HOD (6.90) after persistent bids—thin but clean.
• Support: 6.77, 6.73, 6.67
• Resistance: 6.95, 7.05, 7.25
• 30-min view: Quick test of 6.78–6.82 likely holds; break of 6.95 sets 7.05 then 7.20–7.25.
• Entry: 6.78–6.82 or >6.95 with hold.
• Stop: 6.69 (dip), 6.88 (breakout).
• Targets: 6.95, 7.05, 7.20–7.25.

FTEL

• Thesis: Strong late-session ramp from 5.86 to 6.24; continuation setup if 6.10 holds.
• Support: 6.11, 5.97, 5.86
• Resistance: 6.25, 6.40, 6.60
• 30-min view: Consolidate 6.12–6.20, then attempt 6.25–6.40. Thin—expect wicks.
• Entry: 6.12–6.18.
• Stop: 5.95.
• Targets: 6.28, 6.40, 6.58–6.60.

EMPG

• Thesis: Closed at the highs (16.90) after an intraday uptrend—watch for day-2 push.
• Support: 16.60, 16.40, 16.20
• Resistance: 16.95, 17.10, 17.50
• 30-min view: Hold above 16.60 → 16.95–17.10 test; break there opens 17.40–17.50 over 1–3 days.
• Entry: 16.60–16.70.
• Stop: 16.35.
• Targets: 16.95, 17.10, 17.40–17.50.

SKYT

• Thesis: Big thrust to 19.25 then controlled pullback to 18.70; healthy for continuation if 18.40 holds.
• Support: 18.40, 18.20, 18.00
• Resistance: 18.90, 19.25, 19.80
• 30-min view: Base 18.40–18.60, re-test 18.90–19.25. Break/hold >19.25 sets 19.70–19.80.
• Entry: 18.40–18.55.
• Stop: 18.10.
• Targets: 18.90, 19.25, 19.70–19.80.

LAC (Lithium Americas) – speculative bounce

• Thesis: Capitulation flush to ~5.30 then strong rebound to 6.15 on heavy volume—often leads to 1–2 day bounce if 6.00 area holds.
• Support: 6.00, 5.90, 5.70
• Resistance: 6.20, 6.35, 6.60
• 30-min view: Retest 6.00–6.08; hold → 6.20–6.35; stretch to 6.55–6.60 if lithium sentiment improves.
• Entry: 6.00–6.08.
• Stop: 5.88.
• Targets: 6.20, 6.35, 6.55–6.60.

RGTX (bonus high-conviction biotech large mover)

• Thesis: Strong rebound off 159.5 with higher highs into AH; continuation above 164.5.
• Support: 162.0, 161.0, 159.5
• Resistance: 164.5, 166.0, 168.0
• 30-min view: Hold 162–163 → reclaim 164.5; break sets 166–168 over 1–3 days.
• Entry: 162.2–162.7 or >164.6 with hold.
• Stop: 160.9.
• Targets: 164.5, 166.0, 167.8.

SLDB (bonus smaller-cap momentum)

• Thesis: Strong late push to 6.16 then orderly close 6.03; constructive if 5.95 holds.
• Support: 5.95, 5.93, 5.90
• Resistance: 6.16, 6.24, 6.40
• 30-min view: Coil 5.95–6.05, then test 6.16–6.24; thin—take partials into strength.
• Entry: 5.95–6.00.
• Stop: 5.88.
• Targets: 6.16, 6.24, 6.38–6.40.

Risk management notes

• Thin/liquidity-sensitive names (LXEO, SKYT, FTEL, EMPG, SLDB) can overshoot levels—size down and use hard stops.
• For mega caps (AZO, ULTA, MCK, NOC, APP), expect more orderly moves; if the index tape turns risk-off, wait for your pullback levels to confirm buyers (wicks + volume) before triggering.

If you can share 30-day daily data (or ATRs), I’ll refine levels/targets further and align them precisely with multi-week supply/demand.