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Swing Idea

$20+|20%+ Wk Friday 10/10/2025

October 10, 2025 5 min read

Overall sector and industry analysis

  • Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-10-09 17:30 to 2025-10-10 19:30, spanning late RTH into after-hours. Note: The data provided is intraday/extended-session snapshots rather than a full 30-day history, so the commentary emphasizes the most recent 1–2 sessions and 30-minute structure as a proxy for recent momentum. Verify key daily zones on your charts before trading.
  • Risk-on tone into the close:
    • Semis/AI: AMD and WOLF pressed higher late, with AMD reclaiming and holding the 214–215 zone on rising 30-min volume. WOLF spiked to 31.99, then based above 31.30. That signals dip-buying in AI/semis into the weekend.
    • Crypto miners and compute: APLD, CLSK, HIVE all advanced with good after-hours liquidity. APLD had a strong trend day and held 32.7–33 on pullbacks; CLSK pushed to 19.65 and based 18.7–18.9; HIVE held 6.40–6.52. This cluster moving together is a constructive breadth tell for high beta.
    • Uranium/metals: LEU pushed to 370 then cooled to 363–365; UUUU churned 20.3–20.6; TMQ stair-stepped toward 6.00 and closed firm. The complex is still net-bid on dips.
    • Biotech (spec): Selective strength: NTLA bounced back toward 23.88; RGTX ranged 290–305 into the close; MLTX and NB climbed steadily. Mixed tape but clear appetite for momentum squeezes.
    • Software/automation: PATH advanced from 15.6 to 16.5 while holding higher lows—constructive for a 1–3 day continuation toward 16.7–17.0 if markets stay bid.
    • Volatility/China proxies: UVIX faded all session (risk-on), while YANG recovered late but stayed below session highs—consistent with broad risk appetite.
    • Large-cap defensives and infra: EQIX flatlined around 795–801; MCK soft to sideways; NFLX pinned. Rotation appears away from defensives/megacap staples toward higher beta.

Notable patterns:

  • Multiple group moves in high-beta complex (APLD/CLSK/HIVE; AMD/WOLF) closing near session highs.
  • Pullback-and-hold structures into the last hour (AMD above 214; APLD above 32.7; PATH above 16.3) suggest dip buyers in control near obvious intraday supports.
  • Uranium/metals bid on dips (TMQ clean 5.90→6.00 hold; LEU elevated despite late cool-off).

Ticker performance prediction (next 2–3 days)

  • Likely upside continuation candidates:

– AMD, APLD, CLSK, HIVE, TMQ, SLDP, PATH, WOLF

  • Strongest bullish signals:

– AMD: strong reclaim of 214–215 with higher lows across 30-min bars.
– APLD: trend day with consolidation above 32.7 and repeated higher lows.
– CLSK: push toward 19.65 then a tight flag at 18.7–19.0.
– TMQ: clean round-number breakout/hold at 6.00 with steady volume.

Individual stock analysis
Note: Key levels are derived from the latest 30-min structure; validate against your daily chart for confluence with prior supply/demand.

1) AMD

  • Key supports: 213.30; 211.50; 209.50
  • Key resistances: 215.30; 217.00; 219.50
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Holding 213.3 keeps the micro uptrend intact for a push into 215.3 → 217.0. Above 217 opens a momentum extension toward 219.5–221 if market risk stays bid. Lose 213.3 and a backfill to 211.5 is likely before buyers try again.
  • Swing targets (1–3 days): 215.3; 217.0; stretch 219.5–221.0
  • Entry ideas: Scale 213.6–214.0 on dips toward support.
  • Stop: Tight below 213.0 (aggressive) or below 211.4 (conservative).
  • finviz dynamic chart for AMD

2) APLD

  • Key supports: 32.55; 31.85–31.90; 31.00
  • Key resistances: 33.35; 33.98; 35.00
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Constructive flag above 32.5–32.7. Hold this zone → retest 33.35 → 33.98. A clean 34 break can squeeze toward 35. Pullbacks that hold 31.85 keep the bigger uptrend intact.
  • Swing targets (1–3 days): 33.35; 33.98; stretch 35.00
  • Entry ideas: 32.60–32.80 pullbacks; add on 33.35 reclaim.
  • Stop: Below 32.30 (aggressive) or below 31.80 (structure invalidation).
  • finviz dynamic chart for APLD

3) CLSK

  • Key supports: 18.70; 18.50; 18.00
  • Key resistances: 19.20; 19.65; 20.00
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Tight bull flag above 18.7. Hold 18.7 → 19.2 retest; through 19.2 sets up 19.65 then 20. Failure of 18.7 likely revisits 18.5/18.0 demand before another attempt.
  • Swing targets (1–3 days): 19.20; 19.65; stretch 20.00
  • Entry ideas: 18.75–18.85 on dips; or 19.22 break-and-hold.
  • Stop: Below 18.50 (aggressive) or 18.00 (conservative).
  • finviz dynamic chart for CLSK

4) HIVE

  • Key supports: 6.36–6.40; 6.24; 6.18
  • Key resistances: 6.57–6.62; 6.80; 7.00
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Buyers defended 6.36–6.40 multiple times. Hold that band → push into 6.57–6.62; a clean break can test 6.80 and potentially 7.00 with crypto strength. Lose 6.24 and momentum stalls.
  • Swing targets (1–3 days): 6.62; 6.80; stretch 7.00
  • Entry ideas: 6.40–6.45 pullback buys; add on 6.62 break with volume.
  • Stop: Below 6.24.
  • finviz dynamic chart for HIVE

5) TMQ

  • Key supports: 5.90; 5.85; 5.70
  • Key resistances: 6.00; 6.06; 6.25
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Clean 6.00 round-number battle. Hold 5.90–6.00 → 6.06 then 6.25. If 5.90 fails, expect a shakeout toward 5.70 before next leg.
  • Swing targets (1–3 days): 6.06; 6.25; stretch 6.40
  • Entry ideas: 5.92–5.98 on controlled dips; momentum add on 6.06 breakout.
  • Stop: Below 5.85 (initial), trail under 5.95 once above 6.06.
  • finviz dynamic chart for TMQ

6) SLDP

  • Key supports: 5.75; 5.70; 5.64
  • Key resistances: 5.85–5.89; 5.95; 6.10
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Steady grind higher; holding above 5.75 keeps the staircase pattern intact. Through 5.89 opens 5.95 and 6.10. A close back under 5.70 would negate the immediate setup.
  • Swing targets (1–3 days): 5.95; 6.10; stretch 6.25
  • Entry ideas: 5.75–5.80 on dips; or 5.90 break with rising volume.
  • Stop: Below 5.70.
  • finviz dynamic chart for SLDP

7) PATH

  • Key supports: 16.30; 16.17; 15.90
  • Key resistances: 16.55; 16.70; 17.05
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Higher-low structure from 15.6. Hold 16.17–16.30 → 16.55/16.70. A 16.70 break targets 17.05. Lose 16.17 and you likely revisit 15.9 pivot.
  • Swing targets (1–3 days): 16.55; 16.70; stretch 17.05
  • Entry ideas: 16.25–16.35 on dips; add on 16.70 break.
  • Stop: Below 16.15 (tight) or 15.90 (swing).
  • finviz dynamic chart for PATH

8) WOLF

  • Key supports: 30.34; 30.00; 29.50
  • Key resistances: 31.80; 31.99–32.00; 32.50
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Spike-and-hold character. Above 31.15–31.40, odds favor retest of 31.80 → 32.00. A strong 32 reclaim can target 32.5. Lose 30.34 and a deeper backfill to 30.00 is likely.
  • Swing targets (1–3 days): 31.80; 32.00; stretch 32.50
  • Entry ideas: 31.10–31.40 on controlled dips; or 32.00 break with fresh volume.
  • Stop: Below 30.90 (aggressive) or 30.34 (structure).
  • finviz dynamic chart for WOLF

Secondary watchlist (bullish bias but lower conviction or thinner prints): LEU (watch 363–370 range), NB (10.20–10.64 range control), MLTX (10.00 magnet), CRML (needs 16.40 hold), POET (needs 7.50+ close), APLX (very volatile; trade small if at all).

Risk management and notes

  • Many tickers showed their strongest moves late session; follow-through depends on Monday’s index tone. If UVIX continues to fade and semis stay bid, the upside scenarios above gain probability.
  • Several names are small/mid-cap with variable liquidity. Use limit orders, scale entries, and keep position sizes appropriate.
  • Given we lack a full 30-day dataset here, confirm these intraday-derived levels against your daily chart for confluence with prior swing highs/lows, anchored VWAPs, and daily ATR before executing.
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