Overview
The August 17, 2026 session generated 241 total 20-week breakout signals, split between 192 bullish (dollar_20_wk + pct_20_wk) and 49 bearish (dollar_d20_wk + pct_d20_wk) setups. The resulting 79.7% bullish ratio places this scan firmly in “mostly bullish” territory, typically signaling aggressive institutional buying and strong momentum breadth.
However, the SA Regime reads Cautious, with breadth at just 60.6% of stocks above their 40-week SMA and sentiment leaning Bearish/Neutral. This creates a notable divergence: raw signal counts scream offense, but macro conditions demand defense. Leadership is concentrated in Energy (2.7% ATR%), Health Care (2.0%) and Industrials (1.7%), while Technology (-0.1%), Real Estate (-0.5%) and Utilities (-0.9%) lag — yet paradoxically, many of today’s largest dollar movers (MPWR, MU, MRVL, LFUS, CLS) are Technology/Semiconductor names. This is a rotation warning sign worth monitoring.
Quality Score: 3/5. Per the Cautious-regime rule, quality is capped for selectivity — strong signal count and sector breadth are offset by zero confirmed institutional fund flows across every listed ticker (all showing 0 funds / undefined % increase) and a below-average breadth reading. Only the highest-conviction technical setups should be traded aggressively today.
Top 5 Bullish Picks
FIX ($1882.76) — Building/Building – Construction Products
Weekly Momentum: FIX posted a dollar_20_wk breakout with an ATR Multiple of 0.94 and a healthy 5.5% ADR%, trading just 9.2% off its 52-week high and a massive 187.0% above its 52-week low — evidence of a durable multi-quarter uptrend rather than a one-week spike.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Stop (1x ATR) | $1783.75 |
| Entry | $1882.76 |
| Target 1 (1x ATR) | $1981.77 |
| Target 2 (2x ATR) | $2080.78 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds reported; Bucket: all_unique_bucket_1_stocks. No confirmed institutional accumulation data — technical strength stands alone here.
LFUS ($471.81) — Electronics/Electronic-Parts
Weekly Momentum: LFUS broke out on a dollar_20_wk signal with ATR Multiple 1.75, though relative volume was light at 0.6x average. The stock sits 5.8% below its 52-week high but 102.2% above its 52-week low, confirming trend continuation.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Stop (1x ATR) | $452.66 |
| Entry | $471.81 |
| Target 1 (1x ATR) | $490.96 |
| Target 2 (2x ATR) | $510.11 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds; Bucket: funds_500. Categorized in an institutional-tracking bucket despite the zero-fund reading, suggesting monitoring is warranted.
MOG-A ($445.65) — Industrials/Aerospace & Defense
Weekly Momentum: MOG-A is a standout with an ATR Multiple of 2.53 — the highest among positive setups — trading essentially at its 52-week high (+0.7%) and 137.3% above its 52-week low. Aerospace & Defense aligns with the Industrials sector, one of the market’s top ATR% leaders.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Stop (1x ATR) | $428.79 |
| Entry | $445.65 |
| Target 1 (1x ATR) | $462.51 |
| Target 2 (2x ATR) | $479.37 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds reported; Bucket: N/A. Strongest technical structure of the group, sector-aligned with regime leadership.
MPWR ($1415.99) — Chips/Elec-Semicondctor Fabless
Weekly Momentum: MPWR’s dollar_20_wk breakout carries a low ATR Multiple of 0.26 with a tight LOD Risk ATR% of just 5.5%, indicating a controlled, low-volatility advance rather than a blow-off move, despite trading 17.4% below its 52-week high.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Stop (1x ATR) | $1335.84 |
| Entry | $1415.99 |
| Target 1 (1x ATR) | $1496.14 |
| Target 2 (2x ATR) | $1576.29 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds; Bucket: funds_1000. Highest-tier institutional bucket classification adds credibility despite the current zero-fund print.
MU ($1011.75) — Computer/Computer-Hardware/Peripherals
Weekly Momentum: MU logged the heaviest volume of the bullish cohort (32.5M shares vs. 50M average) on a dollar_20_wk breakout, up a staggering 791.7% from its 52-week low, though still 19.4% below its 52-week high, leaving room to run.
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Stop (1x ATR) | $939.59 |
| Entry | $1011.75 |
| Target 1 (1x ATR) | $1083.91 |
| Target 2 (2x ATR) | $1156.07 |
Institutional Interest: 0 funds reported; Bucket: all_unique_bucket_1_stocks. Memory/semiconductor cycle strength remains the primary driver here.
Bearish Alerts
Five names flagged bearish 20-week breakdowns. TPR ($129.03) is the most concerning with a negative ATR Multiple of -2.48 and elevated relative volume of 1.6x — a sign of active distribution in Consumer Apparel. ULTA ($493.33) sits 31.0% below its 52-week high in Retail-Specialty, reflecting sustained sector weakness. IDXX ($546.09) in Medical-Systems is down 29.1% from its high with a negative ATR Multiple (-0.75), while CHE ($525.16) and TWLO ($228.57) show smaller breakdowns but still warrant caution given elevated ATR multiples (2.79 and 1.80 respectively) suggesting volatile downside swings.
Weakness spans Retail, Consumer Apparel, Diversified Operations, Software and Medical-Systems — a diverse mix suggesting broad-based, not sector-specific, distribution.
Sector Theme
A clear divergence exists between the regime’s designated leading sectors (Energy, Health Care, Industrials by ATR%) and the sectors actually driving today’s largest dollar breakouts (Chips, Electronics, Computer Hardware). Semiconductor and electronics names dominate the bullish list in both count and dollar magnitude, even as broad Technology ATR% reads negative (-0.1%). This suggests narrow, mega-cap-driven strength within Tech rather than sector-wide participation — a pattern consistent with a Cautious regime where breadth is uneven.
Institutional Summary
Every ticker in today’s scan — bullish and bearish alike — reported 0 institutional funds with undefined fund % increase figures. This is an unusual, notable data gap: bucket classifications (funds_500, funds_1000, all_unique_bucket_1/2_stocks) exist for several names including MPWR, LFUS and MRVL, implying institutional tracking infrastructure is in place, but no accumulation signal has yet confirmed. Traders should treat today’s breakouts as technically-driven momentum plays rather than institutionally-validated setups, reinforcing the case for tighter risk management under the current Cautious regime.