Analytics, your call. We’d like to use analytics cookies to see which pages help. Nothing is loaded unless you accept, and the site works the same either way. Privacy policy
Futures look calm but breadth is ugly — only 22.84% of stocks are above their 40-day average, masking a two-tier market led by mega-caps and semis. With the 10-year yield at a year-high 5.27% despite collapsing rate-hike odds, and the equal-weight S&P on a seven-week losing streak, the hosts break down why today calls for patience, catalyst-driven stock picks, and a wait for the 10 AM ISM print.
Chapter by chapter
Flat Futures, Ugly Breadth
The host flags a 'Bearish' regime call despite calm futures, driven by weak market breadth and a contradictory bull-bear sentiment gauge.
The Yield Curve Puzzle
A bear flattener explained: falling rate-hike odds versus a 10-year yield at year-highs, driven by deficit worries rather than inflation fear.
Global Split Screen & Calendar Watch
Nikkei strength versus European fiscal stress, plus today's lone catalyst: the 10 AM ISM Non-Manufacturing print.
Fading Bounce, Two-Tier Market
Short-term breadth deteriorates even as longer-term breadth improves, with mega-cap tech and semis masking broad weakness and a seven-week losing streak in the equal-weight S&P.
Gold and Silver as Fear Gauges
Metals rally as investors hedge against the underlying market stress signaled by weak breadth and rate-sensitive sector losses.
Catalyst Names Over Breakouts
With breakout scans thin, the analyst highlights catalyst-driven names like IMOS, CABO, CYCU, PTC, and PCVX instead of forcing technical setups.
Action Codes and Scenarios
COUGAR patience and First Hour Pass codes guide the plan, with distinct gap-up and gap-down scenarios tied to the 10 AM ISM release.
Key points
Only 22.84% of stocks are above their 40-day moving average — breadth is far weaker than the flat futures suggest.
A bear flattener is underway: October hike odds collapsed to 16% from 64%, yet the 10-year yield sits at a year-high 5.27% on deficit concerns.
The market is two-tiered — Info Tech and semis are up while Health Care and Financials lag, and the equal-weight S&P just logged its seventh straight losing week.
With breakout scans thin, lean on catalyst-driven names (IMOS, CABO, CYCU, PTC, PCVX) rather than forcing technical trades.
Action codes today: COUGAR (patience) and FHP (First Hour Pass) — let the 10 AM ISM Non-Manufacturing print set direction before committing risk.
See IMOS in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
Can't reach WaveFinder right now. Your episode is still playing.
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open IMOS in WaveFinder.
See CABO in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
Can't reach WaveFinder right now. Your episode is still playing.
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open CABO in WaveFinder.
See CYCU in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
Can't reach WaveFinder right now. Your episode is still playing.
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open CYCU in WaveFinder.
See PTC in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
Can't reach WaveFinder right now. Your episode is still playing.
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open PTC in WaveFinder.
See PCVX in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
Can't reach WaveFinder right now. Your episode is still playing.
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open PCVX in WaveFinder.