Power Hour

Power Hour #135: Defensive Rotation: Breadth Rises as Tech Drags the Tape – Friday 10/23/2026

Episode 1355:03

0:005:03

Episode summary

Breadth is improving even as SPY slips, but the move is defensive rotation into Utilities, Staples, Materials, and Energy rather than genuine recovery. The desk lays out what to hold (LMT, defensives), what to watch (PTLE, RY on confirmation), what to cut (TEM, GGG), and the key SPY and QQQ levels that would flip the...

Chapter by chapter

Breadth vs. the Tape

Breadth improves to 29%/47% above key moving averages while SPY falls 0.44%; QQQ and RSPT flagged as the drag.

Where the Money's Flowing

Defensive sectors lead (RSPU, RSPS, RSPM, RSPG); holds, watches, and cuts detailed including LMT, PTLE, TEM, and GGG.

Levels That Flip the Regime

SPY's $758.68 guardrail, QQQ's 20-day low, RY confirmation setup, and the SMA levels needed to flip from rotation to recovery.

Key points

  • Breadth rose to 29% above the 20-day and 47% above the 40-day even as SPY fell 0.44% to $760.57 — rotation, not recovery.
  • Tech is the anchor: QQQ at $705.40 near its 20-day low, RSI 37.2, with RSPT at the 5th percentile and falling.
  • Defensive sectors (Utilities, Staples, Materials, Energy) are absorbing the flow; LMT is the cleanest hold at $590.20.
  • Cut TEM and avoid GGG — both show negative price action despite catalysts, signaling distribution not opportunity.
  • Regime flips only if SPY reclaims $770.18 and QQQ clears its SMA20 at $735.28; until then, size down and favor defined risk.

Ticker charts

SPY

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open SPY in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

QQQ

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open QQQ in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

RSPT

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RSPT in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

RSPU

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RSPU in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

RSPS

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RSPS in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

RSPM

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RSPM in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

RSPG

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RSPG in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

LMT

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open LMT in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

PTLE

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open PTLE in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

KRMN

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open KRMN in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

REAL

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open REAL in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

TEM

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open TEM in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

GGG

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open GGG in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

RY

Open in app
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)

Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RY in WaveFinder.

Daily bars through Oct 23, 2026.

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