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Breadth is improving even as SPY slips, but the move is defensive rotation into Utilities, Staples, Materials, and Energy rather than genuine recovery. The desk lays out what to hold (LMT, defensives), what to watch (PTLE, RY on confirmation), what to cut (TEM, GGG), and the key SPY and QQQ levels that would flip the...
Chapter by chapter
Breadth vs. the Tape
Breadth improves to 29%/47% above key moving averages while SPY falls 0.44%; QQQ and RSPT flagged as the drag.
Where the Money's Flowing
Defensive sectors lead (RSPU, RSPS, RSPM, RSPG); holds, watches, and cuts detailed including LMT, PTLE, TEM, and GGG.
Levels That Flip the Regime
SPY's $758.68 guardrail, QQQ's 20-day low, RY confirmation setup, and the SMA levels needed to flip from rotation to recovery.
Key points
Breadth rose to 29% above the 20-day and 47% above the 40-day even as SPY fell 0.44% to $760.57 — rotation, not recovery.
Tech is the anchor: QQQ at $705.40 near its 20-day low, RSI 37.2, with RSPT at the 5th percentile and falling.
Defensive sectors (Utilities, Staples, Materials, Energy) are absorbing the flow; LMT is the cleanest hold at $590.20.
Cut TEM and avoid GGG — both show negative price action despite catalysts, signaling distribution not opportunity.
Regime flips only if SPY reclaims $770.18 and QQQ clears its SMA20 at $735.28; until then, size down and favor defined risk.
See SPY in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open SPY in WaveFinder.
See QQQ in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open QQQ in WaveFinder.
See RSPT in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RSPT in WaveFinder.
See RSPU in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RSPU in WaveFinder.
See RSPS in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RSPS in WaveFinder.
See RSPM in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RSPM in WaveFinder.
See RSPG in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RSPG in WaveFinder.
See LMT in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open LMT in WaveFinder.
See PTLE in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open PTLE in WaveFinder.
See KRMN in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open KRMN in WaveFinder.
See REAL in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open REAL in WaveFinder.
See TEM in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open TEM in WaveFinder.
See GGG in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open GGG in WaveFinder.
See RY in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow)
Use left and right arrows to move through history, plus and minus to zoom, ] and [ to open the next and previous event, Escape to close its card, Enter to open RY in WaveFinder.