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Power Hour #81 Bullish

Power Hour #81: 196 and Rising: Reading a Breadth Thrust – Friday 8/7/2026

August 7, 2026 4:36
Tickers Mentioned
Episode Summary
Breadth exploded from 139 to 196 above the 20 SMA and the bull-bear ratio flipped from even to lopsided, but a still-neutral 40 SMA sentiment reading raises questions about durability. The hosts break down which cyclical winners to hold, which divergent fades to cut, and the exact breadth level that will confirm or kill the move tomorrow.
Key Takeaways
  • Breadth surged: 20SMA jumped to 196%, Bull 4% hit 324
  • Materials and Industrials lead; Tech and Utilities lag
  • DKNG and SPCX are SIP leaders holding gains
  • Fade divergence names like VIAV and SPB into close
  • Index technicals unavailable — trade off breadth and rotation
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Regime Check — Where Are We Now?

Breadth is firmly risk-on into the final hour — the 4% sentiment reads Very Bullish even as the 40SMA sentiment sits Neutral, a classic short-term surge inside a still-maturing trend.

  • Breadth expanding hard: % Above 20 SMA jumped to 196% from 139% yesterday (+57pp), and Bull 4% swelled to 324 vs Bear 4% at just 107 — a total flip from yesterday’s near-even 257/279.
  • Leadership rotating to cyclicals: Materials (RSPM) hit a 100th percentile reading at 1.79 and Industrials (RSPN) sit at 1.55 (84th pct, rising), while Utilities (RSPU) lag at -0.74 and Tech (RSPT) remains negative at -0.85.
  • Character: trending-up day with broadening participation — not a choppy reversal tape. Index levels for SPY/QQQ/IWM are (data unavailable), so lean on breadth and sector rotation, not chart levels.

Strategy Signals — Continuation, Reversal & SIP

  • Strongest continuation (2LYNCH): AVAV +8.4% leads the 128-signal continuation list, though risk flags at 151.2%; cleaner is CBRS $224.77 (+6.4%) in Chips and ASTS $70.91 (+5.3%) in Telecom — both riding the aerospace/space theme.
  • Strongest reversal setup: OFIX $10.33 tops the 168-name reversal list on 3.5 RVOL; watch inverse-miner unwinds GDXD (-18.4%) and JDST (-12.4%) as gold turns — a tell that risk appetite is rising.
  • SIP leaders holding: DKNG $22.17 is up +3.74% from open on 2.14 RVOL after a beat (EPS +144.9%); SPCX $114.92 is +7.41% from open post-upgrade. VIAV $40.59 is the fade — down despite strong results, guidance-driven.
  • Most relevant action code: PLASTICS (Sector Winners) — chase Materials/Industrials strength — paired with ABC (Always Be in Control) given elevated single-name risk percentages.

Closing Playbook — What To Do Now

  • CLOSE / trim: Exit names showing the “up despite” or “down despite” divergence — VIAV (down on good results) and heavy-short SPB ($88.22, -3.05% from open) are giving-back candidates into the bell.
  • ENTER on confirm: If it holds green in the last 30 minutes, DKNG above ~$22 on 2x volume is a clean episodic-pivot continuation; CBRS holding $224+ keeps the chip breakout intact.
  • Key level caveat: With SPY/QQQ/IWM data unavailable, gauge tomorrow off breadth — a close with % Above 20 SMA holding near today’s 196% confirms the thrust; a sharp fade back toward yesterday’s 139% would warn the surge was one-day noise.

Tomorrow’s Early Look

  • Catalyst watch: Earnings reactions dominate — DKNG, AHR (raised guidance, +390% EPS), and SPB already reported; monitor follow-through and any overnight economic prints since no index technicals are posted.
  • Setup forming: ASTS $70.91 and SPCX $114.92 anchor the space/telecom theme — a hold of today’s highs sets a continuation trigger for tomorrow’s open.
  • Regime outlook: Rotation into Materials (100th pct) and Industrials plus collapsing bear counts argues for staying long cyclicals — but Neutral 40SMA sentiment means keep size disciplined; don’t assume the thrust is permanent.
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