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Power Hour #27 Bullish

Power Hour #27: Filtering the Weak — Momentum Over Breadth – Wednesday 4/22/2026

April 22, 2026 4:00
Tickers Mentioned
Episode Summary
Market breadth narrows but momentum remains strong — with tech and biotech leading the charge. Analyst Algenib breaks down the optimal hold/cut/enter positions ahead of the critical PCE data release.
Key Takeaways
  • AVGO and JBIO show strongest continuation setups with high RVOL and institutional support.
  • Technology sector ATR hits 3.25 — highest of all sectors — signaling strong upward momentum.
  • Breadth contraction: % above 20 SMA fell 14% to 58%, while Financials and Tech lead sectors.
  • CALX and BBY SIP events indicate reversal risk — avoid shorting breakouts in biotech and retail.
  • No SPY price data available; focus on ATR and SIP signals for actionable intraday plays.
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Regime Check — Where Are We Now?

Market breadth has sharply contracted from yesterday’s stronger reading: % above 20 SMA fell 14.0pp to 58% (vs. 72% yesterday), and % above 40 SMA dropped 1.5pp to 69.15%, confirming a shift to neutral sentiment (4% bullish vs. 4% yesterday’s 4% — stable but weakening).

  • Technology sector ATR hit 3.25 — highest of all sectors, at 100th percentile — indicating strong upward momentum in chips/software.
  • Financials (RSPF) ATR rose to 2.24 (95th percentile), while Energy (RSPG) ATR rebounded to 0.04 (32nd percentile), but Utilities (RSPU) fell to -1.09 — lowest in 9M — signaling sector rotation.
  • Today’s character: mixed breadth, selective strength — strong performers in Tech/Medical, lagging in Energy/Utilities and broad market consolidation after pre-close rally.

Strategy Signals — Continuation, Reversal & SIP

  • Strongest continuation signal: AVGO at $420.15 (+4.5%), RVOL 1.0, ATR%M 8.2 — top Momentum play with institutional accumulation (5K).
  • Strongest reversal setup: JBIO at $25.42 (+10.4%), ATR%M 10.8, Risk 97.6% — high-risk, high-reward small-cap biotech breakout (SIP confirmed earlier).
  • SIP leaders: CALX opened lower (-13.4% at $42.93) post-Q1 earnings, BBY dropped -4.2% ($63.78) on CEO news — both showing reversal behavior; OTIS raised guidance but traded down (-0.5%) — mixed signals.
  • Action code: 2LYNCH — continuation breakouts in chips (AVGO), biotech (JBIO), and software (MSFT +1.6% at $430.88, RVOL 0.7) support a trend-following approach.

Closing Playbook — What To Do Now

  • CLOSE any short positions in Tech or Medical sectors (e.g., CALX, MGRC) — both show continued bearish SIPs, but reversal attempts are failing.
  • ENTER on confirmation for AVGO above $421.50 or JBIO above $26.00 — breakout setups with strong RVOL and institutional interest.
  • SPY is not quoted today — no SMA20/SMA50/SMA200 levels available. Monitor QQQ and IWM for indirect support/resistance — QQQ holds above 200-day if SPY is unavailable.

Tomorrow’s Early Look

  • Overnight catalyst: Fed Speaker appearances and March PCE data released April 23 morning — watch for inflation clarity.
  • Setup forming: MSTZ at $5.46 (-16.9%) in Reversal Bullish list — watch for gap fill or VCP re-entry if volume surges above 1.9M avg.
  • Regime outlook: neutral-to-bullish** — today’s narrowing breadth but strong top-tier sector ATR suggests a rotational recovery, favoring selective continuation over broad-market moves.
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