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Power Hour #15 Bearish

Power Hour #15: Final Hour Playbook: Bearish Confirmation & High-Stakes Entries – Friday 3/27/2026

March 27, 2026 3:55
Episode Summary
With breadth collapsing and regime shifting bearish, the hosts break down exactly which positions to hold, cut, or wait for—plus critical confirmation levels for SSRM, PLYX, and SPY ahead of Fed speakers.
Key Takeaways
  • Breadth collapsed: % above 20 SMA dropped to 25% from 32% yesterday.
  • PLYX leads reversal cluster with +29.5% gain and high ATR%-M (5.7%).
  • Energy (AMR, CVX) is lone sector in positive ATR—rotate into it for FFM.
  • SPY support at $518.00 critical — break below confirms Monday gap risk.
  • SSRM and KOD show strongest SIP confirmation for low-risk entries.
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Regime Check — Where Are We Now?

Today’s regime remains highly bearish — no shift from morning. Breadth deteriorated vs. yesterday: % above 20 SMA fell 7.0pp (32% → 25%), % above 40 SMA fell 3.4pp (26.05% → 22.63%).

  • Bearish sentiment dominates: 485 bear signals vs. 64 bull (Bull 4% = 4%, down from 121 yesterday).
  • Energy (RSPG) is the only sector with positive ATR (+5.9) and rising — all others are negative and falling or flat.
  • Today’s character: reversal-confirmed downtrend — broad weakness accelerating in afternoon, no sustained counter-trend bid.

Strategy Signals — Continuation, Reversal & SIP

  • Strongest continuation signal: PLYX at $8.26 (+29.5%, RVOL 0.6), highest ATR%-M (5.7%) — continuation breakout in Healthcare.
  • Strongest reversal setup: VTS at $18.64 (−4.1%, RVOL 2.5), risk 145.8% — extreme ATR%-M (−1.9%) suggests oversold reversal candidate.
  • SIP leaders: ABTC down −6.62% from open amid crypto selloff (sentiment −1), CEG up but down −1.93% from open — no strong reversal confirmation.
  • Key action code: FFM — only actionable intraday setups show ≤2.5% risk in top SIPs (SSRM, KOD) and reversal cluster (VTS).

Closing Playbook — What To Do Now

  • Close any short exposure in EnergyAMR (+3.0%), VIST (+2.6%), and CVX (+1.7%) are all trending higher on RVOL >0.7 — energy momentum is institutional-grade.
  • Enter only if PLYX holds above $8.20 — it’s the highest ATR%-M (5.7%) and RVOL 0.6 in Reversal Bullish — low-risk breakout candidate.
  • If SPY holds above $521.00 (SMA50 assumed), then minor relief rally can extend — but if it breaks below $518.00, expect Monday gap-down continuation (per breadth collapse).

Tomorrow’s Early Look

  • Overnight catalyst: Fed speakers (Barr, Waller) — watch for hawkish nuance ahead of Monday’s session.
  • Setup forming: SSRM — SIP shows normal course bid, EPS Q/Q +2964%, RVOL 1.17, funds +4.6% — potential $24.60 → $26.00 breakout.
  • Regime outlook: If SPY closes below 25% above 20 SMA (today’s 25%), tomorrow’s plan becomes defensive — focus on energy, utilities, and reversal reversal setups (FFM strategy).
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