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Despite every major index closing green, breadth quietly collapsed — percent of stocks above the 20-day SMA got cut in half, keeping the regime call at Cautious. The team breaks down which breakouts had real sector support (steel, Reddit) versus isolated moves that got sold despite good news (Palo Alto, MongoDB), then sets up tomorrow’s watchlist and key macro levels to watch.
All major indices close green but the regime call stays Cautious at 41.9% above the 40-SMA.
The bull-bear gauge violently flips bullish while 20-day SMA breadth collapses from 17% to 8%.
STLD and RDDT rally with sector-wide confirmation from Nucor, Charter, and Cable One.
Dell's raised AI-server outlook contrasts with Palo Alto, MongoDB, Palantir, and CrowdStrike selling off despite beats.
Three names to track tomorrow with key levels and a sizing warning on RDDT's wide ATR.
Thursday's ISM and jobless claims data, bull/bear oil-and-yields scenarios, and a repeated Cautious regime call.
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Daily bars through Sep 2, 2026.
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Daily bars through Sep 2, 2026.
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Daily bars through Sep 2, 2026.
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Daily bars through Sep 2, 2026.
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Daily bars through Sep 2, 2026.
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Daily bars through Sep 2, 2026.
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