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The S&P closed nearly flat, but under the hood, breadth collapsed as nearly 9% of stocks fell out of their uptrend in a single session. The team breaks down what drove the divergence—oil, yields, and idiosyncratic single-stock shocks—and sets up tomorrow’s bull/bear fork with key levels on TSLA, OKTA, and SNDK.
The S&P barely moved but breadth plunged from 51% to 42.1% above the 40-day, revealing a distribution-tinged advance.
Crude's jump to $85.83 pushed the 10-year to a 2026 high, capping risk appetite even as Energy stocks gained.
TSLA and CRWD continuation setups worked because real fundamental news backed the technical reclaim.
Wildfire legislation crushed Edison and PG&E over 20% while Utilities as a sector stayed green, highlighting idiosyncratic risk.
PANW earnings and ISM/JOLTS data headline tomorrow, with watchlist levels on TSLA, OKTA, and SNDK.
Regime stays Cautious with a clear bull case (breadth reclaim, strong PANW) versus bear case (yields to 4.809%, breadth below 40).
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Daily bars through Aug 31, 2026.
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Daily bars through Aug 31, 2026.
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Daily bars through Aug 31, 2026.
See PCG in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 31, 2026.
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Daily bars through Aug 31, 2026.
See HWM in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 31, 2026.
See PANW in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 31, 2026.
See OKTA in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 31, 2026.
See SNDK in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 31, 2026.
