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The S&P closed nearly flat, but breadth quietly slipped from Cautious at 55.8% to 51.48%, revealing soft participation beneath the surface. Energy and industrials showed real conviction while health care and tech faded, setting up a coiled tape ahead of NVDA’s earnings print that will decide tomorrow’s regime.
Morning breadth of 55.8% Cautious drifts down 4.3 points into the close despite a flat index.
Equal-weight S&P outperforms cap-weight, Nasdaq breadth lags NYSE, and a muted PCE print reinforces a wait-and-see market.
2LYNCH, D9M, and Reversal Bullish scans plunge, with signals concentrated narrowly in energy and medical.
Refiners like PBF, CVI, and DINO rip higher on firm oil prices, while CHRW and ITT hold on courier demand.
MRNA, LLY, and NKE drift with no catalyst, while ANF's earnings-driven surge is flagged as episodic, not technical.
NVDA enters earnings down 1.46%, reporting alongside CrowdStrike and Salesforce as the market's central focus.
Bull case reclaims 7686 with breadth above 55%; bear case breaks Nasdaq's range with breadth under 40%.
ALAB, ARM, CRWD, and refiner swing names round out the plan as traders wait for NVDA's reaction.
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Daily bars through Aug 26, 2026.
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