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Despite a dramatic bull-bear sentiment reversal and a near 1% Dow rally, breadth data kept the market regime at Cautious. The episode breaks down gold-driven strength in metals and mining, a parallel Bitcoin-fueled rally in HOOD and COIN, chip and utility weakness dragging the S&P, and sets up key trading levels ahead of Wednesday’s PCE print and NVDA earnings.
Closing breadth of 51.2% kept the regime at Cautious even as the Dow rallied and bull/bear sentiment completely reversed.
A $110.50 spike in gold futures drove double-digit gains in FCX, NEM, MP, SGML, and NEXA, while Bitcoin fueled a separate rally in HOOD and COIN.
Utilities fell 2.3% and semiconductors capped a rough 5.5% weekly decline, led lower by a nearly 14% drop in MRVL.
Specific trade levels are laid out for MP Materials, HOOD's supply/demand zone, and TSLA's robotaxi-driven setup, plus refiner breakouts in DK and CVI.
Bullish and bearish breadth, rate, and oil triggers are defined ahead of Wednesday's PCE report and NVDA earnings.
See FCX in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See NEM in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See MP in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See SGML in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See NEXA in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See HOOD in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See COIN in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See MRVL in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See TSLA in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See DK in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See CVI in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
See ROST in WaveFinder. Sign in with your email, and new accounts are free and take about 30 seconds.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
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Daily bars through Aug 21, 2026.
