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Next Day Prep EP205

Next Day Prep: TechBlood & FastBucks Prep 4 CPI Storm – Thursday 2/12/2026

February 12, 2026 5:11
Episode Summary
The podcast episode is focused on analyzing the market dynamics of February 12, 2026. The episode covers major sell-offs pre-January CPI, the impact on various indices, key themes in the market including AI disruption and defensive rotations, and technical levels to watch for the next trading day.
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Next Day Prep: TechBlood & FastBucks Prep 4 CPI Storm

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Market Briefing – February 12, 2026

Intro & Market Mood:

Today’s market witnessed a major sell-off ahead of the January CPI report, reflecting a “risk-off” sentiment among traders. The indices showed significant declines, with S&P 500 (-1.6%), Nasdaq (-2.0%), and Russell 2000 (-2.0%) all in the red.

Overnight Headlines:

  • AI Disruption Fear: Traders grapple with the impact of AI disruption not only boosting tech but also harming other sectors like logistics (C.H. Robinson, Expeditors).
  • Tech Weakness: Software sector took a hit with AppLovin down 20%, while Cisco faced a 12% drop on margin warning.
  • Defensive Rotation: Money flowed into defensive sectors such as Utilities (e.g., Exelon) and Staples (e.g., Walmart).

Economic Announcements:

Watch out for the CPI report scheduled for tomorrow with an expected 0.3% rise. Market also saw oil prices down 2.7% due to Trump/Iran talks while bond yields dipped.

Earnings Highlights:

  • Fastly (FSLY): Notable winner of the day, surging 72% on earnings and AI tailwind.
  • AppLovin (APP): Despite beating earnings, faced a sharp 20% decline, showcasing trader sentiment.

Top Movers:

Utilities and Staples outperformed in a risk-off environment while tech and logistics sectors experienced significant losses.

Quick Trade Ideas:

  • Keep an eye on SPY support at 680 and resistance at 685. QQQ support at 600 with potential downside risk to 595 and resistance at 605.
  • Observe defensive sector performance alongside tech movements for indication of market direction. React to CPI data release with caution.

Key Takeaway:

As traders navigate through AI disruptions, defensive rotations, and tech vulnerabilities, staying vigilant with technical levels and sector dynamics is crucial amidst market volatility.

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