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The Morning Dose EP12 Neutral

Morning Dose: UNH Tanking, Tech Rebound Trade Plays & Volatility Ahead – Thursday 4/17/2025

April 17, 2025 2:02
Tickers Mentioned
UNHTSMAXPCSXDHIAA
Episode Summary
Mixed futures as UnitedHealth crashes 20% on poor earnings, dragging the Dow while tech rebounds. TSM outperforms with raised guidance. Watch VIX for volatility; avoid healthcare, consider tech plays.
Key Takeaways
  • UnitedHealth plunged 20% pre-market on disappointing earnings and guidance
  • Tech sector showing recovery with S&P and Nasdaq futures positive
  • Taiwan Semiconductor beat estimates and raised guidance, potential buy opportunity
  • Monitor VIX closely for potential volatility and price swings today
  • Avoid healthcare stocks due to UNH contagion risk spreading across sector
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Morning Dose: UNH Tanking, Tech Rebound Trade Plays & Volatility Ahead

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

Futures are mixed this morning, with the big news being UnitedHealth (UNH) plummeting 20% pre-market due to disappointing earnings and guidance. Although this is dragging down the Dow, there’s a silver lining as S&P and Nasdaq futures are showing gains, especially in the tech sector trying to recover from recent losses.

Overnight Headlines

  • Positive trade news with ‘big progress’ between the US and Japan, as tweeted by Trump, possibly influencing market sentiment.

Economic Announcements

Key economic data dropping at 8:30 ET includes housing starts, building permits, and jobless claims. Additionally, the rise in the 10-year yield may cause tech stocks to face more pressure.

Earnings Highlights

  • American Express (AXP) slightly beat expectations, while Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) exceeded forecasts and raised guidance.
  • Other companies like CSX, D.R. Horton, and Alcoa reported mixed results.

Top Movers

Asian markets are mostly up, but European markets are declining ahead of the ECB rate cut announcement. Trade uncertainty discussions by ECB President Lagarde might be contributing to the negative sentiment.

Quick Trade Ideas

  • Consider looking into Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) for potential buying opportunities post-guidance raise.
  • Avoid engaging in healthcare-related stocks today due to UNH’s significant impact on the sector.

Key Takeaway

Stay vigilant and monitor the VIX closely for potential market volatility. Prepare for possible significant price swings throughout the trading day to mitigate risks.

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