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The Morning Dose EP44 Bearish

Morning Dose: Trade War Tensions Rise Market Fear Spikes! – Friday 5/30/2025

May 30, 2025 7:42
Tickers Mentioned
SPYQQQCOSTDELLAEOGAPZSULTASMMTSCVL
Episode Summary
Futures point lower Friday as trade war tensions and tariff concerns weigh on sentiment. Key PCE inflation data and consumer sentiment due. Mixed earnings from COST, DELL, ULTA. Markets remain cautious with potential volatility ahead.
Key Takeaways
  • Futures lower on trade war and geopolitical uncertainty concerns
  • Key PCE Price Index and consumer sentiment data releases today
  • Mixed earnings: COST and ULTA beat, DELL missed expectations
  • Market consolidation with cautious sentiment amid tariff developments
  • Watch SPY and QQQ key levels for volatility
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Morning Dose: Trade War Tensions Rise Market Fear Spikes!

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

Welcome to The Morning Dose – Everything You Need to Know Before the Market Opens. It’s Friday, May 30th, 2025! Futures are indicating a modestly lower open today amid ongoing concerns about tariffs and geopolitical uncertainties.

Overnight Headlines

  • Asian markets closed lower while European markets show some positivity.
  • Key data points include Tokyo Core CPI beating expectations but mixed results from Germany.

Economic Announcements

Key economic data releases today include the Personal Income and Outlays report with the PCE Price Index, followed by the Chicago PMI and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment.

Earnings Highlights

  • COST (Costco): Beat Q3 EPS expectations.
  • DELL (Dell): Missed Q1 EPS but issued optimistic guidance for Q2 and beyond.
  • AEO (American Eagle): Missed Q1 EPS and provided below-consensus guidance for Q2.
  • GAP (Gap): Beat Q1 expectations but experiencing a significant decline.
  • ZS (Zscaler): Beat Q3 expectations with mixed guidance for Q4.
  • ULTA (Ulta Beauty): Reported strong performance, beating expectations and raising full-year guidance.

Top Movers

Notable gainers include SMMT, SCVL, PATH, ULTA, AEO, AMBA, and DELL. Decliners include ESTC, NMAX, AEO, RGTI, PD, and NTAP.

Quick Trade Ideas

Market sentiment is cautious with consolidation seen. Key levels to watch for SPY and QQQ while considering potential sector rotations and tech momentum.

Key Takeaway

Stay focused on economic data, tariff developments, and market levels. Be prepared for potential sentiment shifts and volatility amid ongoing uncertainties.

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