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The Morning Dose EP75 Neutral

Morning Dose: Tech Shock ASML’s Guidance Shake-Up – Wednesday 7/16/2025

July 16, 2025 4:14
Tickers Mentioned
ASMLGSBACJNJMSBHFSPYQQQ
Episode Summary
Markets face mixed sentiment as ASML's guidance concerns offset strong bank earnings. PPI report at 8:30 AM will drive direction. Tariff uncertainty on pharma and semiconductors adds caution. Watch key technical levels SPY 623 and QQQ 557.5.
Key Takeaways
  • PPI report at 8:30 AM crucial for inflation expectations
  • ASML beat earnings but lowered guidance, stock price dipped
  • Goldman Sachs and Bank of America reported strong earnings
  • Brighthouse Financial surging on potential Aquarian acquisition talks
  • Key resistance levels: SPY 623 and QQQ 557.5
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Morning Dose: Tech Shock ASML’s Guidance Shake-Up

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

Good morning traders! Welcome to The Morning Dose, your pre-market briefing. Today, we’re seeing a mixed start with cautious optimism in the air. The market is facing uncertainty fueled by inflation concerns and tariff talk.

Overnight Headlines

  • President Trump: Mentioned potential tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductor products.

Economic Announcements

  • Producer Price Index (PPI): Keep an eye on the PPI report at 8:30 AM, a key indicator directly impacting inflation expectations and market sentiment.

Earnings Highlights

  • ASML Holding (ASML): Beat earnings and revenue but lowered future revenue guidance, impacting the stock price.
  • Banks: Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Johnson & Johnson reported strong earnings, while Morgan Stanley faced challenges in investment banking.

Top Movers

  • Brighthouse Financial (BHF): Soaring pre-market on reports of a potential acquisition by Aquarian, highlighting M&A activity.

Quick Trade Ideas

Consider playing strength in banks like Goldman Sachs or Johnson & Johnson on positive guidance. Stay nimble ahead of market-moving events like the PPI announcement at 8:30 AM.

Key Takeaway

Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with key resistance levels at 623 for S&P 500 (SPY) and 557.5 for Nasdaq (QQQ). Watch for the PPI report impact on interest rates and tech sector performance before making significant trading decisions.

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