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The Morning Dose EP151 Bearish

Morning Dose: Tech Crush Signals Risk-Off Morning – Wednesday 11/05/2025

November 5, 2025 4:54
Tickers Mentioned
PLTRAMDTSLAQQQ
Episode Summary
Tech wreck continues as even beat-and-raise earnings from Palantir and AMD fail to impress, sending futures lower amid global risk-off sentiment. ADP employment data and key technical support levels will be critical to watch.
Key Takeaways
  • Tech stocks selling off despite beat-and-raise earnings reports
  • Asian markets down sharply, risk-off sentiment dominates globally
  • ADP employment report key data point before Friday jobs
  • Market in unforgiving 'prove it' mode for high-valuation tech
  • Critical support levels at SPX 670 and QQQ 616
0:00 / 4:54

Morning Dose: Tech Crush Signals Risk-Off Morning

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

Person1: Welcome to The Morning Dose – Everything You Need to Know Before the Market Opens. It feels like we’re nursing a bit of a hangover from yesterday’s tech wreck, doesn’t it?

Person2: That’s the perfect way to put it! Futures are tracking modestly lower, and there’s definitely a sense of caution in the air. Yesterday’s action was… well, it was a major tell.

Overnight Headlines

Person1: So it’s a “sell the news” environment. We saw some pretty sharp drops overnight in Asia to back that up, with Japan’s Nikkei down two and a half percent and South Korea’s Kospi tumbling almost three percent.

Person2: Yeah, both of those markets are pulling back hard from record highs. Europe is also looking mostly lower. There’s just a risk-off feel globally to start the day. Traders are on edge.

Economic Announcements

Person2: The big one is the ADP Employment Change report for October. That’s going to give us a really important read on the labor market ahead of the main event later this week.

Earnings Highlights

Person1: Let’s get into the earnings avalanche. The big story seems to be Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). It looks like a repeat of the Palantir story!

Person2: It really does! AMD beat on earnings per share, beat on revenue, and even guided fourth-quarter revenue above what analysts were expecting. And how does the market reward them? The stock is down over five percent in the pre-market!

Top Movers

  • Biohaven: down forty-three percent after FDA setback
  • Trex Company: down thirty-four percent on poor earnings and guidance
  • Pinterest: down over seventeen percent
  • Kennedy Wilson: up more than twenty-four percent after buyout proposal
  • Lumentum: up sixteen percent on strong report

Quick Trade Ideas

Person1: For the S&P 500, watch 670 as critical support and 675 as resistance. For the QQQ, look at 616 support and 619 resistance.

Key Takeaway

Person2: The market is in a “prove it” mood. Great earnings are not enough. Watch that ADP data closely and see if buyers defend key support levels. It’s going to be a very telling session.

Person1: A “prove it” day indeed. Have a great trading day, everyone.

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