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The Morning Dose EP197 Bullish

Morning Dose: Semis Surge TSM’s Mega Guidance Sparks Pre-Market Rally – Thursday 1/15/2026

January 15, 2026 4:11
Tickers Mentioned
TSMAMATLRCXKLACGSMSBLKTDGSPYQQQ
Episode Summary
Semiconductors surge on TSM's strong guidance, lifting chipmakers. Geopolitical tensions ease as Iran de-escalates, pushing equities higher. Focus on semis and aerospace; watch morning economic data for volatility.
Key Takeaways
  • TSM strong earnings and guidance lift semiconductor sector broadly
  • Geopolitical de-escalation with Iran boosts market sentiment, oil drops
  • Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley beat earnings expectations
  • Watch 8:30 AM economic data: jobless claims and manufacturing surveys
  • Focus on semiconductors and aerospace; caution on energy stocks
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Morning Dose: Semis Surge TSM’s Mega Guidance Sparks Pre-Market Rally

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

Good morning, traders! Welcome to The Morning Dose – Everything You Need to Know Before the Market Opens. It is Thursday, January 15th, 2026.

I’m seeing green on the screens this morning, indicating a positive market sentiment. Bulls seem to be stepping back into the arena, setting the stage for a rebound play today.

Overnight Headlines

Geopolitical tensions are cooling down with President Trump holding off on strikes against Iran, leading to a shift in market mood. Reports suggest Iran has stopped targeting protesters, easing fears and causing oil prices to sharply decline, thus uplifting equities for a potential rally.

Economic Announcements

Traders should watch out for the 8:30 AM data dump, including Initial Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed Index, and the Empire State Manufacturing survey. These economic indicators, especially the labor data, could significantly impact market behavior.

Earnings Highlights

  • Goldman Sachs (GS) beat EPS expectations and increased their dividend.
  • Morgan Stanley (MS) also surpassed EPS estimates.
  • BlackRock (BLK) saw positive movements after beating on both top and bottom lines.

Top Movers

Taiwan Semi (TSM) reported strong earnings and gave bullish guidance, driving up not only its own stock but also lifting other chipmakers like Applied Materials (AMAT), Lam Research (LRCX), and KLA Corp (KLAC).

Quick Trade Ideas

  • Watch Applied Materials (AMAT) for an anticipation play following TSM’s news.
  • Monitor TransDigm (TDG) in the Aerospace sector for a continuation move.
  • Exercise caution with Energy stocks due to the drop in oil prices.

Key Takeaway

For today, focus on semiconductors and Aerospace sectors for potential opportunities. Stay alert for market reactions to economic data and maintain discipline in trading decisions. The overall bias seems to be positive, but be mindful of key support and resistance levels on the indices for a structured approach to trading.

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