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The Morning Dose EP188 Neutral

Morning Dose: NVIDIA Demand Surges, Tesla Warning – Wednesday 12/31/2025

December 31, 2025 3:33
Tickers Mentioned
NVDATSLAPLUGGFS
Episode Summary
Last trading day of 2025 opens cautiously with NVIDIA gaining on ByteDance chip demand while Tesla faces valuation warnings. Jobless Claims data at 8:30 AM may move markets in light volume. Traders advised to protect gains and avoid impulsive decisions.
Key Takeaways
  • NVIDIA secures $14 billion ByteDance chip deal for 2026
  • Tesla faces valuation concerns despite CyberCab production ramp plans
  • Final trading day of 2025 shows cautious market sentiment
  • Initial Jobless Claims data at 8:30 AM expected at 226K
  • Focus on protecting gains in low-volume holiday trading session
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Morning Dose: NVIDIA Demand Surges, Tesla Warning

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

Welcome to The Morning Dose – Everything You Need to Know Before the Market Opens. It is Wednesday, December 31st, 2025. The final trading day of the year is officially here! The futures board appears slightly red, hinting at a cautious start to the day. Market sentiment seems to be in a ‘calming phase’ as traders prepare for the new year.

Overnight Headlines

  • NVIDIA: NVIDIA is making waves with reports of increased demand for their H200 chips and a significant deal with ByteDance worth $14 billion for NVIDIA chips in 2026.
  • Tesla: Michael Burry’s comments on Tesla being ‘ridiculously overvalued’ and Elon Musk’s announcement on CyberCab production ramp starting in April are creating a mix of valuation concerns and growth expectations.
  • Analyst Calls: Plug Power upgraded to ‘Buy’ and GlobalFoundries downgraded to ‘Neutral’. Drugmakers expected to hike prices on 350 medicines next year, impacting the healthcare sector.

Economic Announcements

Before the bell, watch out for the Initial Jobless Claims data at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, with a consensus of 226,000. This data release will likely influence market movements in the low-volume environment.

Earnings Highlights

No specific earnings highlights mentioned in the briefing.

Top Movers

  • Planned Movers: NVIDIA, ByteDance, Tesla, Plug Power, GlobalFoundries, healthcare sector.

Quick Trade Ideas

Traders are advised to maintain caution and stay vigilant during this consolidated market phase. Look for relative strength in resilient sectors like Tech but avoid impulsive trading decisions. Protecting your gains should be the primary focus for this shortened trading session.

Key Takeaway

As we close 2025, focus on prudent trading strategies, avoid chasing breakouts, and be prepared for any unexpected market reactions to the economic data. Wishing all traders a successful New Year ahead with wise investment decisions.

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