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The Morning Dose EP35 Bearish

Morning Dose: Moody’s Downgrades U.S. Credit Market Gap Alert! – Monday 5/19/2025

May 19, 2025 11:03
Tickers Mentioned
SPYQQQUNHNVDABABAAAPLTHNVAXCOFDFS
Episode Summary
Moody's downgrades U.S. credit rating to Aa1, pressuring futures and Treasury yields. Focus on key support levels for SPY and QQQ amid cautious sentiment. Monitor FDA-approved plays and M&A activity with emphasis on risk management.
Key Takeaways
  • Moody's downgrades U.S. credit rating pressuring futures and bonds
  • Treasury yields rising with long end under pressure
  • April Leading Indicators expected to decline 0.7 percent
  • NVIDIA down post-Computex keynote, watch for tech weakness
  • Focus on SPY and QQQ support levels with caution
0:00 / 11:03

Morning Dose: Moody’s Downgrades U.S. Credit Market Gap Alert!

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

Welcome to The Morning Dose – Everything You Need to Know Before the Market Opens. Futures are feeling a chill, driven by Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating to Aa1 from Aaa.

Overnight Headlines

  • Asia and Europe trading lower, impacted by the U.S. downgrade and mixed economic data.
  • Significant news: Treasury yields up, long end feeling pressure.

Economic Announcements

April Leading Indicators data at 10:00 AM Eastern expected with a 0.7% decline, highlighting a potential slowing trend.

Earnings Highlights

  • Target Hospitality (TH) reports mixed results but reaffirms guidance.
  • JPMorgan provides banking metrics for 2025.
  • BioNTech reaffirms FY25 revenue guidance.

Top Movers

  • UnitedHealth (UNH) shows strength despite a hold rating.
  • NVIDIA (NVDA) down post-keynote at Computex.
  • Action: Watch the potential impact of Alibaba (BABA) and BABA-AAPL integration scrutiny.

Quick Trade Ideas

  • Consider long positions post-FDA approval for Novavax (NVAX).
  • Monitor market reactions post-Capital One (COF)-Discover (DFS) deal and Regeneron’s (REGN) 23andMe assets acquisition.

Key Takeaway

Market sentiment cautious in the wake of Moody’s downgrade. Focus on SPY and QQQ support and resistance levels. Watch for momentum plays with risk management emphasis.

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