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The Morning Dose EP96 Neutral

Morning Dose: Market Insight Rate-Cut Winners, Big Tech Pause – Thursday 8/14/2025

August 14, 2025 5:15
Tickers Mentioned
CSCODEDDSAAPDLOIBTACOHRAMZNSOUN
Episode Summary
Markets pause at records awaiting PPI data. Rotation into small-caps and cyclicals continues on rate-cut optimism. Mixed earnings from CSCO, DE, DDS, AAP. Watch AMZN and SOUN as potential plays while managing stretched valuations.
Key Takeaways
  • Market flat after records, awaiting PPI data release
  • Rotation favoring smaller stocks and lagging sectors continues
  • September rate cut optimism following positive CPI report
  • Valuations stretched, caution warranted despite bullish rotation
  • Focus on cyclicals and small-mid caps for opportunities
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Morning Dose: Market Insight Rate-Cut Winners, Big Tech Pause

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

Good morning traders! The market is starting off flat after record-setting sessions. Traders are awaiting the Producer Price Index (PPI) data to set the tone for the day.

Overnight Headlines

  • Reports indicate optimism for a September interest rate cut following the CPI report.
  • Market sees a rotation with smaller stocks and lagging sectors gaining strength.

Economic Announcements

Key economic data includes PPI release with expectations of a positive reading and weekly jobless claims to monitor closely for market impact.

Earnings Highlights

  • CSCO (Cisco): Beat on earnings but down in pre-market trading.
  • DE (Deere): Disappoints despite beating on EPS and revenue.
  • DDS (Dillard’s): Impressive beat on expectations with rising store sales.
  • AAP (Advance Auto Parts): Strong report exceeding forecasts and reaffirming guidance.

Top Movers

Winners: DLO (dLocal) up 26% on earnings beat and raised revenue guidance.

Losers: IBTA (Ibotta) down 35% after revenue miss and downgrades. COHR (Coherent) down nearly 20% due to business sale announcement.

Quick Trade Ideas

Focus on cyclical sectors and small to mid-cap stocks. Use key support levels for risk control.

Key Takeaway

Stay cautious amid stretched valuations. Watch for continued rotation, monitor support and resistance levels, and consider stocks like AMZN (Amazon) and SOUN (SoundHound) as potential plays.

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