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The Morning Dose EP67 Neutral

Morning Dose: June Jobs Report Alert Rate Cut Catalyst! – Thursday 7/03/2025

July 3, 2025 4:50
Tickers Mentioned
SPYQQQDDOGTRIPFDXLCID
Episode Summary
Markets hover flat ahead of critical June jobs report at 8:30 ET, which could catalyze rate cut expectations. U.S.-China tech trade tensions ease while Datadog joins S&P 500. Key levels: SPY $622.50 resistance, QQQ $552.50 resistance.
Key Takeaways
  • June employment report at 8:30 ET critical for rate cut expectations
  • U.S.-China chip design software export restrictions lifted, easing tech tensions
  • Datadog surges 9% on S&P 500 inclusion triggering index buying
  • FedEx upgraded from Underperform to Outperform with $270 target
  • SPY resistance at $622.50, support at $619 post-jobs report
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Morning Dose: June Jobs Report Alert Rate Cut Catalyst!

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

The Morning Dose Market Briefing: Equity futures are hovering around the flatline as the market anticipates the critical June employment report at 8:30 Eastern. Traders are on edge, awaiting potential market-moving data.

Overnight Headlines

  • U.S.-China Trade: Restrictions on chip design software exports to China have been lifted, easing tech trade tensions.
  • Capitol Hill News: Progress on the “One Big Beautiful Bill” with a procedural vote advancing, signaling potential market impact.

Economic Announcements

8:30 AM: Watch for June employment report, May Trade Balance, and Initial Jobless Claims. Later at 9:45 and 10 AM, Services PMI, Factory Orders, and ISM Services data will create market volatility.

Earnings Highlights

  • Datadog (D-D-O-G): Soaring over 9% as it joins the S&P 500, triggering index fund buying.
  • Tripadvisor (T-R-I-P): Up 8% after activist investor Starboard Value takes a 9% stake, hinting at potential strategic moves.
  • FedEx (F-D-X): Rising over 1% on a double upgrade from Underperform to Outperform with a target price of $270.

Top Movers

Lucid: Producing over 3,800 vehicles and delivering 3,300, nudging the stock up 1%, reflecting success in meeting targets.

Quick Trade Ideas

S&P 500 ETF (SPY): Resistance at $622.50 with support at $619.

Nasdaq (QQQ): Watching $552.50 resistance and $550.50 support levels for potential breakout signals.

Key Takeaway

Today hinges on the 8:30 Eastern jobs report, setting the tone and likely direction for trading. Stay alert post-release as quick market shifts are likely.

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