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The Morning Dose EP82 Bullish

Morning Dose: Japan Trade Deal Fuels Market Surge – Wednesday 7/23/2025

July 23, 2025 4:49
Tickers Mentioned
LIIGEVCOFTXNHLTTABVXENPH
Episode Summary
U.S.-Japan trade deal fuels cautiously bullish sentiment with Japan pledging $550B investment. Tech weakness and sector rotation create mixed signals. E.U. tariff tensions add complexity to trade landscape.
Key Takeaways
  • U.S.-Japan trade deal brings market optimism and clarity
  • Japan commits $550 billion investment in U.S. economy
  • Tech sector shows weakness despite overall bullish sentiment
  • Sector rotation dynamics creating mixed performance across markets
  • Monitor relative strength amid E.U. tariff tensions
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Morning Dose: Japan Trade Deal Fuels Market Surge

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

Futures are pointing to a higher open this morning, led by optimism surrounding the U.S. and Japan trade deal. The market sentiment is cautiously bullish, with clear signs of sector rotation and mixed performance.

Overnight Headlines

  • U.S.-Japan Trade Deal: President Trump announces a 15% tariff on Japanese imports, boosting market clarity. Japan commits to investing $550 billion in the U.S. economy, leading to a surge in Japan’s Nikkei index.
  • E.U. Tensions: Reports indicate potential E.U. tariffs on U.S. goods, creating a give-and-take dynamic in trade negotiations.

Economic Announcements

The MBA Mortgage Applications saw a slight increase of 0.8%, with focus now shifting to Existing Home Sales for June. Analysts expect a modest decline, potentially impacting homebuilders.

Earnings Highlights

  • Winners: Lennox International (LII) and GE Vernova (GEV) beat earnings expectations significantly, while Capital One Financial (COF) impresses with its domestic charge-off rate improvement.
  • Losers: AT&T and Hilton (HLT) face market scrutiny over mixed guidance. Texas Instruments (TXN) experiences a steep decline despite meeting expectations, signaling tech sector caution.

Top Movers

  • Gainers: Abivax (ABVX) skyrockets over 400% on positive Phase 3 results.
  • Losers: Texas Instruments (TXN) leads the decline, along with Enphase Energy (ENPH) after disappointing Q3 revenue guidance.

Quick Trade Ideas

Consider tracking Lennox International (LII) for potential continuation based on its strong earnings performance amidst market volatility.

Key Takeaway

The market mood is cautiously bullish post U.S.-Japan trade deal, but watch for sector rotation and tech weakness. Focus on relative strength, monitor key levels, and navigate the market with agility.

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