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The Morning Dose EP94 Neutral

Morning Dose: Inflation Showdown Will Cuts Hold? – Tuesday 8/12/2025

August 12, 2025 5:05
Tickers Mentioned
SPYQQQVXXAAPLINTCNVDAGEVOWOWGDOTBBAI
Episode Summary
Markets pause ahead of July CPI data with futures flat after Nasdaq reached new highs. SPY and QQQ test key resistance levels. Traders advised to stay nimble with tactical, post-CPI strategies and tight stops.
Key Takeaways
  • July CPI data at 8:30 ET is today's main market catalyst
  • Nasdaq hit all-time high yesterday before fading into close
  • SPY testing 636 and QQQ testing 573 resistance levels
  • VXX remains low indicating decreased market fear and volatility
  • Stay tactical with tight stops and focus on post-CPI plays
0:00 / 5:05

Morning Dose: Inflation Showdown Will Cuts Hold?

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

The Morning Dose – Everything You Need to Know Before the Market Opens

Good morning! The market appears to be holding its breath today as futures remain flat. Yesterday, the Nasdaq reached a new all-time high momentarily before fading into the close, setting the stage for a potentially pivotal day.

Overnight Headlines

  • Executive order extends lower tariff rate for China for another ninety days, but market reaction is muted.
  • Elon Musk challenges Apple, while Intel surges pre-market after positive remarks following White House visit.
  • Reports indicate Chinese government advising against NVIDIA’s chips for security reasons.

Economic Announcements

Today’s main event is the release of July’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data at 8:30 Eastern Time. A significant data point that could influence market sentiment depending on how it unfolds.

Earnings Highlights

  • Winners: GEVO (+50%), WideOpenWest (WOW) (+48%), Green Dot (GDOT) (+16%)
  • Losers: BigBear.ai (BBAI) (-28%), PubMatic (PUBM) (-27%)

Top Movers

Upgrades: Chipotle, Starbucks, and Mercury Systems stand out. Downgrades: PubMatic and Getty Images face pressure following recent developments.

Quick Trade Ideas

Indices are testing resistance levels with SPY at 636 and QQQ at 573. Watch for breakout attempts post-CPI data. The VXX remains low, signaling decreased market fear.

Key Takeaway

Traders should stay nimble and patient amidst mixed signals. Focus on post-CPI plays, keep stops tight, and prioritize stocks showing strength and volume. Today calls for tactical, not impulsive, trading strategies.

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