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Morning Dose: Fed’s Dovish Tone Fuels Rally & Rate-Cut Odds Data Key – Tuesday 11/25/2025

November 25, 2025 4:37
Tickers Mentioned
BABADKSBBYKSSAUTLKEYSAMATEL
Episode Summary
Markets pause after rally as Fed dovish comments boost rate cut odds to 80%. Key data releases today including PPI and Retail Sales will drive direction. Focus on healthcare/biotech strength while watching S&P 500 support levels closely.
Key Takeaways
  • Fed dovish tone pushes December rate cut odds above 80%
  • Major data releases today: PPI, Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence expected
  • Alibaba surges 4% on strong revenue beat drives sentiment
  • Healthcare and biotech sectors showing relative strength for trades
  • Maintain tight stops until clear market direction emerges today
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Morning Dose: Fed’s Dovish Tone Fuels Rally & Rate-Cut Odds Data Key

A quick analysis of today’s market outlook and key trading opportunities to start your day.

Intro & Market Mood

Good morning traders! Today, the market is taking a breather after yesterday’s rally. Equity futures are pointing to a slightly lower open as confidence returned to big tech and AI names.

Overnight Headlines

  • Fed Influence: More dovish commentary has increased the likelihood of a December rate cut to over eighty percent.
  • Key Data Today: Expect a massive data dump including the Producer Price Index (PPI), Retail Sales, and Consumer Confidence.

Earnings Highlights

  • BABA (Alibaba): The stock is up over four percent on a strong revenue beat.
  • Dick’s Sporting Goods: Despite beating, the stock is down due to in-line guidance.
  • Retail Sector: Some retailers like Best Buy and Kohl’s reported solid earnings.

Top Movers

  • Autolus Therapeutics (A-U-T-L): Surging nearly thirty-four percent on positive clinical news.
  • Keysight Technologies: Up fourteen percent post strong report and buyback program.
  • Semtech: Slipping about six percent.

Quick Trade Ideas

  • UBS Call: Upgraded Applied Materials to a Buy.
  • Rothschild Call: Downgraded Estee Lauder to a Sell.

Key Takeaway

Watch for crucial support and resistance levels in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Stay cautious but focus on sectors showing resilience, especially healthcare and biotech for potential plays.

It’s a trader’s market. Pay close attention to the morning data dump and market reaction. Look for stocks with relative strength but maintain tight stops until a clear market direction is established.

Wishing you all a successful trading day ahead! Stay tuned for more updates from The Morning Dose.

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