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Midday Wave #62 Bullish

Midday Wave #62: Trading the Invisible Market: Breadth Breakouts & Foggy Roads – Friday 6/12/2026

June 12, 2026 3:58
Episode Summary
With major indices data missing, traders must rely on breadth metrics to confirm a sudden shift to a bullish regime. The episode highlights specific stock breakouts like LESL and SHAZ while warning of fading legacy names like ADBE. Host and analyst provide precise price levels and risk metrics for navigating the afternoon session without a clear horizon.
Key Takeaways
  • 20SMA breadth surged 31 percentage points to 67%
  • LESL leads with 6.5% gain and high risk metric
  • SHAZ jumps 13% on Nvidia AI collaboration news
  • ADBE fades 4.84% after Evercore downgrade
  • Index price data unavailable for SPY, QQQ, IWM
0:00 / 3:58

Midday Situation Check

Bullish regime — Sentiment 4% at 4% (Bullish), with % Above 40 SMA at 61.4% (up from 57.89% yesterday) and % Above 20 SMA surging to 67% (up from 36% yesterday).

Market Recap — Session So Far

Market breadth has expanded significantly mid-session, with the 20-day SMA participation jumping 31 percentage points to 67%.

  • Index levels unavailable: SPY, QQQ, and IWM data is currently (data unavailable), preventing specific price tracking.
  • Breadth update: Bull 4% count stands at 196 against 121 Bear 4% counts, showing a clear shift from yesterday’s 587 Bull count.
  • Volume pace: Relative volume for top movers like HUM and LESL indicates moderate participation, with RVOLs ranging from 0.0 to 0.4.

Momentum Watch — Breakout Continuation & SIP

  • Strongest continuation signal: LESL leads with a 6.5% gain and a massive 117.2% risk metric, despite a 0.0 RVOL.
  • New SIP entries: SHAZ surged 13.26% from open on an AI collaboration with Nvidia, while RKLB jumped 7.68% after joining the Nasdaq 100 Index.
  • Morning breakout follow-through: ADBE is fading early gains, down 4.84% from open following an Evercore downgrade to a price of $218.80.

Strategy Check — Continuation, SIP & 20% Study

  • Continuation signal status: TPL is holding strong with a 4.9% gain and 107.4% risk metric, while FN maintains a 4.0% gain.
  • SIP movers: BKKT saw a director buy shares at $8.35, and UMAC (from yesterday’s list) remains active with a price target raised to $25.72.
  • 20% Study signals: MU is at supply near $995.87 with a 133.35% ATR risk, while ALAB shows 7.16 ATR multiple strength at $367.47.

Quick Takes & Wrap-Up

  • LESL: Watch the $8.45 level for continuation; a break above could target the 6.5% gain extension.
  • SHAZ: Monitor the $71.51 price point as the market digests the Nvidia collaboration news.
  • Overall bias: Bullish, driven by a massive 31pp expansion in 20SMA breadth, though index data remains unavailable for confirmation.
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