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Post-Market SA — 2026-03-05

March 5, 2026 2 min read
Tickers Mentioned
SASMAATRCFRVOLINTUINSTNOWCEGAMPX

# Post-Market SA — 2026-03-05

# 📊 WaveRider Post-Market SA — 2026-03-05


1. Market Summary

Breadth is deteriorating. Bears dominate across every timeframe:

  • Bull 4% : 136 vs Bear 4%: 275 — nearly 2:1 bear dominance
  • % Above 20 SMA: 41% | % Above 40 SMA: 38.35% — majority below both MAs
  • Primary trend still bull-leaning (826 vs 758) but eroding fast
  • Sentiment 4% & 40SMA: Both Bearish
  • Failure-to-rally rate: Bears 25 vs Bulls 13.64 — bears converting more setups

Market Sentiment: ⚠️ Defensive / Selective Risk


2. Sector Analysis

🟢 Top 3 Momentum (ATR%-M)
| Sector | ATR%-M | Signal |
|——–|——–|——–|
| Energy | +4.69 | Rising ↑ 79th %ile |
| Utilities | +3.52 | Flat — defensive bid |
| Real Estate | +1.73 | Flat — yield play |

🔴 Bottom 3
| Sector | ATR%-M | Signal |
|——–|——–|——–|
| Health Care | -1.61 | Falling ↓ 0th %ile |
| Financials | -1.17 | Flat 5th %ile |
| Consumer Disc | -0.51 | Falling ↓ 0th %ile |

PLASTICS Check:

  • 🔴 Tech: -0.36, falling, 16th %ile — weak
  • 🔴 Health Care: -1.61 — avoid
  • 🔴 Consumer Disc: -0.51 — avoid
  • ✅ Energy + Comm Services (rising, 63rd %ile) are the rotational winners today

3. Strategy Signals

📈 Continuation 2LYNCH — 48 signals
Top picks:

  • CF $110.78 +5.8% | RVOL 3.0 | ATR%-M +5.8 | Agriculture — strongest momentum
  • INTU $466.79 +6.0% | RVOL 1.4 | INST backed — software leader holding
  • NOW $120.38 +5.7% | RVOL 1.2 | INST | dual appearance (also 9M Catalyst)
  • CEG $332.07 +2.9% | Energy sector tailwind | INST
  • ⚠️ Most have negative ATR%-M — quality narrows quickly to CF/CEG/INTU

🔍 Delayed 9M — 98 signals | MAGNA53 Filter
MAGNA53 candidates (gap≥4%, <100 funds):

  • AMPX $14.89 +18.6% | RVOL 3.9 | 0 funds | Energy | ATR%-M +4.8 ✅
  • BW $13.29 +12.6% | RVOL 4.0 | 0 funds | Machine ✅
  • Volatility ETFs (UVIX/UVXY/VXX/VIXY) all +6-12% with RVOL 1.4-1.5 — market stress signal, not setups
  • DUST +978% / HIBS +913% = inverse ETF distortion, ignore

⚡ 9M Catalyst — 21 signals | BBT
High-conviction volume events:

  • TTD $29.79 +18.4% | RVOL 4.4 | INST | OpenAI ad talks — narrative catalyst 🔥
  • OKTA $79.65 +11.0% | RVOL 2.5 | INST | earnings-driven software
  • ALTO $4.02 +54.6% | RVOL 36.8 | EPS beat (EP note) — extreme volume
  • AVGO $332.77 +4.8% | RVOL 2.3 | 5K inst | Chips leader
  • DOW/LYB — Chemical sector showing unusual strength (sector rotation signal)

📦 Darvas Box — 295 signals
Largest list but mostly mining/chips/medical pulling back. Quality tight setups:

  • ANET $139.40 +3.4% | RVOL 0.9 | INST | Computer
  • APA $32.38 +4.1% | RVOL 1.3 | INST | Energy — sector aligned ✅
  • Most Darvas signals showing negative change % — box integrity questionable in this tape

📊 EG100 / Sugar Babies — 514 signals | STORY
STORY candidates (big move, thin fundamentals):

  • ALTO $4.02 +54.6% | RVOL 36.8 | Basic Materials — EP + BBT combo
  • ACDC $5.31 +6.0% | RVOL 1.4 | Energy theme
  • ALAB $120.00 +5.5% | RVOL 1.0 | INST | Chips

🔄 Reversal Bullish — 182 signals | BTFD
Market not in Fed-driven dip buy mode. Breadth too weak for aggressive BTFD.
Notable high-volume reversals:

  • SSYS $9.10 -7.1% | RVOL 5.5 — watch for next-day stabilization
  • STUB $8.91 -12.4% | RVOL 5.1 — heavy selling, caution

4. Strategy Article Insights

No strategy articles provided today. Applying core framework directly to scan data.


5. Trade Ideas — Top 5

| Ticker | Strategy | Entry Zone | Risk% | Thesis |
|——–|———-|————|——-|——–|
| TTD | BBT + MAGNA53 | $29.79–$30.50 | 28.1% | OpenAI ad catalyst, RVOL 4.4x, INST backed, narrative momentum |
| CF | 2LYNCH | $110–$112 | 108.5% | Best ATR%-M in continuation scan (+5.8), RVOL 3.0, ag sector strength |
| CEG | 2LYNCH + Energy | $330–$335 | 101.8% | Energy #1 sector, INST, nuclear energy theme, ATR%-M positive |
| AMPX | Delayed 9M + MAGNA53 | $14–$15.50 | 133.2% | 0 funds (<100 ✅), RVOL 3.9, Energy sector aligned, +18.6% | | AVGO | 9M Catalyst + FFM | $330–$335 | 67.8% | 5K inst, RVOL 2.3, chips leader, best institutional quality in catalyst scan |

⚠️ FFM Note: No clean ≤2.5% risk setups exist today. TTD at 28.1% is lowest in catalyst scan — size accordingly. This is a reduced-size environment.


6. Action Codes of the Day

🔴 ABC — Always Be in Control

Evidence: Bear 4% (275) nearly double Bull 4% (136). Failure rate for bears at 25 vs bulls 13.64. Volatility ETFs (UVXY +10%, VXX +6.5%) surging = stress. 7 of 11 sectors have negative or near-zero ATR%-M.
Action Tomorrow: Do NOT chase opens. Set alerts at clean breakout levels only. Reduce position size by 30-50% from normal. If a setup doesn’t work within 30 min — exit.

⚡ BBT — Big Bang Theory

Evidence: TTD RVOL 4.4x (+18.4%), ALTO RVOL 36.8x (+54.6%), OKTA RVOL 2.5x (+11%), BW RVOL 4.0x (+12.6%), AMPX RVOL 3.9x (+18.6%). Multiple 9M catalyst signals firing with genuine institutional volume.
Action Tomorrow: TTD and OKTA are the focus. Pre-market: check if volume holds overnight. Watch for early consolidation near today’s close — enter on first pullback with volume confirmation, not at open.

🎯 CRT — Controlled Risk Taking

Evidence: Despite bearish breadth, 48 continuation signals fired and Software/Energy producing real winners (INTU +6%, CF +5.8%, NOW +5.7%). Selective opportunities exist inside a deteriorating market.
Action Tomorrow: Maximum 2 trades. Only touch INST-backed names with positive ATR%-M. Energy (CEG, APA) and select Software (NOW, INTU) are the hunting grounds.


7. Tomorrow’s Prep

Key Levels:

  • Watch volatility ETF behavior at open — UVXY/VXX holding gains = more defense needed
  • CF above $110 = agriculture momentum continuing
  • TTD: $29–$30 is the pivot zone post-catalyst

Sectors Gaining Momentum:

  • 🟢 Energy (79th %ile, rising) — CF, CEG, APA, AMPX all on radar
  • 🟢 Communication Services (63rd %ile, rising) — TTD leading this charge
  • ⚠️ Chemicals surprising today (DOW +4.3%, LYB +6.4%) — watch for follow-through

Setups Forming But Not Yet Triggered:

  • ANET $139.40 — Darvas box, INST, Computer sector. Needs volume expansion
  • NOW $120.38 — Appeared in both 2LYNCH and 9M Catalyst. Dual-signal confluence building
  • OKTA $79.65 — Earnings-driven, INST, +11% today. Watch for 3-day base forming (T3A)
  • APA $32.38 — Darvas + Energy sector alignment. Clean INST setup if Energy holds bid

Report generated EOD 2026-03-05 | WaveRider Chief Market Strategist
⚠️ Not financial advice. All data sourced from WaveRider proprietary scans.

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