# Post-Market SA — 2026-03-03
# 📊 WaveRider Post-Market SA — 2026-03-03
1. Market Summary
- Breadth deteriorating: Only 40.96% above 40 SMA; 73% above 20 SMA — near-term bounce but medium-term pressure
- Bull/Bear: 4% sentiment scan shows 123 bulls vs 582 bears; 9M shows 23 bulls vs 89 bears — deeply skewed bearish
- Primary trend: Bull Primary (1171) barely edges Bear Primary (1089) — razor-thin
- FT Rate: Bear 9M at 73.08% confirms bearish follow-through dominance
- Sentiment: ⚠️ Bearish / Defensive — bounces are selling opportunities until breadth improves
2. Sector Analysis
Top Momentum (ATR%-M):
| Rank | Sector | ATR%-M | Trend | Pct |
|——|——–|——–|——-|—–|
| 🥇 | Energy | 4.54 | Falling | 63% |
| 🥈 | Utilities | 4.17 | Rising | 79% |
| 🥉 | Real Estate | 2.58 | Flat | 42% |
Bottom Momentum:
| Rank | Sector | ATR%-M | Trend | Pct |
|——|——–|——–|——-|—–|
| ⬇️ | Health Care | -1.20 | Falling | 0% |
| ⬇️ | Financials | -0.96 | Rising | 21% |
| ⬇️ | Technology | -0.53 | Flat | 11% |
PLASTICS Check (HC/Tech/Cons Disc):
- ❌ Technology: -0.53, flat, 11th pct — no leadership
- ❌ Health Care: -1.20, falling, 0th pct — avoid
- ❌ Consumer Discretionary: -0.38, falling, 0th pct — avoid
Rotation Signal: Utilities (79th pct, rising) + Communication Services (79th pct, rising) are the only two sectors with both high percentile AND rising trend — defensive rotation confirmed
3. Strategy Signals
📈 Continuation Breakout (2LYNCH) — 136 signals
Top picks:
- HUBS $275.37 +4.5% | RVOL 0.7 | ATR -1.6 | INST ✅ — Software, clean continuation
- IBM $245.28 +2.5% | RVOL 0.9 | ATR -3.1 | Risk 100% | INST ✅ — Defensive tech quality
- CRM $196.05 +1.6% | RVOL 0.8 | ATR -2.7 | Risk 74% | INST ✅ — Appears in both 2LYNCH + Delayed 9M (confluence)
- APP $438.89 +1.4% | RVOL 0.7 | Risk 92.2% | INST ✅
- ⚠️ Low RVOL across board — breakouts lacking conviction today
⏱ Delayed 9M — 146 signals
MAGNA53 Filter (gap≥4%, <100 funds, EP tag):
- BATL $27.68 +134.6% | RVOL 5.3 | Energy — extreme mover, no fundamentals listed; gap massive but speculative
- CRCG $3.33 +6.7% | RVOL 3.3 — MISC, low-quality
- PLTR $147.22 +1.4% | RVOL 1.1 | Risk 119% | INST ✅ — 415 funds (too many for MAGNA53 pure filter but strong institutional name)
- CRM $196.05 — double signal confirmation (2LYNCH + Delayed 9M) ⭐
🔥 9M Catalyst — 25 signals
High-volume events:
- BBY $65.95 +7.1% | RVOL 3.6 | INST ✅ — Retail earnings catalyst, strong volume
- TGT $120.80 +6.7% | RVOL 2.4 | INST ✅ | Risk 154% — Retail catalyst, high risk
- PINS $19.10 +9.3% | RVOL 1.7 | INST ✅ | Risk 94.7% — Internet breakout catalyst
- SEM $16.26 +8.4% | RVOL 10.3 | Risk 12.8% — 🔥 Massive volume, very low risk (FFM candidate)
- ASTS $92.68 +6.6% | RVOL 1.6 | Telecom — thematic story play
- ⚠️ Note: DUST +17.6%, GLL +9.2%, TECS +4.2%, TZA +5.1% — inverse/bear ETFs surging = market stress signal
📦 Darvas Box — 310 signals
- Dominated by MINING names selling off hard (AU -10.4%, AG -10.2%, AEM -7.0%) — Darvas boxes breaking DOWN
- CHIPS under pressure: ADI -3.8%, AMAT -5.6%, AEHR -5.4%
- Quality longs scarce; sector context unfavorable
- Best quality: ACLX $114.05 0.0% | Risk 5.2% | ATR 14.9 — FFM candidate (near-zero risk)
💰 EG100 / Sugar Babies — 511 signals
- Broad weakness: most names -3% to -10%
- STORY candidates (big moves, no fundamentals):
– BATL +134.6% — pure momentum, no fundamentals
– AGQ $147.62 -16.4% — silver 2x ETF collapsing
- AA $63.84 -0.4% | RVOL 1.5 | Risk 165% — Mining, watching for base
🔄 Reversal Bullish — 1021 signals
- High count (1021) signals exhaustion selling = potential bounce candidates
- BBT candidates (RVOL > 2x):
– BWX $22.49 | RVOL 13.9 — highest RVOL, MISC ETF
– KORU $403.06 -31.1% | RVOL 8.2 — Korea 3x leveraged, extreme
– NRG $162.06 -7.7% | RVOL 5.0 | INST ✅ — Utility, episodic selloff; BTFD watch if market stabilizes
- ⚠️ Most reversals are international ETFs selling off (EWY -10.3%, KORU -31.1%) — global risk-off
4. Strategy Article Insights
No strategy articles provided today.
Cross-reference notable: CRM appears in both 2LYNCH and Delayed 9M — dual confirmation elevates conviction. BBY and TGT both hit 9M Catalyst with institutional backing on earnings — retail sector showing isolated strength despite broad weakness.
5. Trade Ideas (Top 5)
| Ticker | Strategy | Entry Zone | Risk% | Thesis |
|——–|———-|————|——-|——–|
| SEM | 9M Catalyst + FFM | $15.50–$16.50 | 12.8% ✅ | RVOL 10.3x, low risk, Medical catalyst; highest volume conviction today |
| ACLX | Darvas + FFM | $113–$115 | 5.2% ✅ | Near-zero risk ATR, Medical, holding flat in down market — relative strength |
| CRM | 2LYNCH + Delayed 9M | $194–$198 | 74.0% | Dual-scan confirmation, INST backing, Software leader holding above key levels |
| BBY | 9M Catalyst + BBT | $64–$67 | 104.3% | Earnings gap +7.1%, RVOL 3.6, INST ✅, Retail isolated strength |
| PINS | 9M Catalyst | $18.50–$19.50 | 94.7% | +9.3% catalyst move, INST ✅, Communication Services rising pct sector |
🔑 FFM priority: SEM (12.8%) and ACLX (5.2%) are today’s best risk-controlled entries
6. Action Codes of the Day
🧠 ABC — Always Be in Control
Evidence: Bear 9M FT rate at 73.08%, inverse ETFs (DUST +17.6%, TZA +5.1%, GLL +9.2%) surging, only 40.96% of stocks above 40 SMA, Darvas boxes breaking down broadly
Action tomorrow: Do NOT chase breakouts with low RVOL (most 2LYNCH signals show RVOL <1.0). Size down. Wait for clean entries only. No impulse buys on pre-market moves.
💰 FFM — Find Free Money
Evidence: SEM at 12.8% risk with RVOL 10.3x; ACLX at 5.2% risk holding flat in a down tape; BOIL at 32.6% risk in Energy sector momentum
Action tomorrow: Build watchlist exclusively around risk_atr ≤ 2.5% setups before open. In bearish breadth environments, only asymmetric risk/reward justifies entries. Target SEM and ACLX as primary candidates.
🔥 BBT — Big Bang Theory
Evidence: SEM RVOL 10.3x, BBY RVOL 3.6x, BATL RVOL 5.3x, NRG RVOL 5.0x, BWX RVOL 13.9x — unusual volume clustering today signals big potential moves ahead
Action tomorrow: Monitor SEM, BBY, and NRG for continuation of volume patterns. Big volume days often precede 2-3 day follow-through. Set alerts at today’s highs.
7. Tomorrow’s Prep
Key Levels to Watch:
- DIA noted at $489.22 (Stocks in Play, -2 sentiment “market down after strikes”) — watch $485 support
- Bear inverse ETFs (DUST, TZA, GLL, TECS) all triggering 9M signals — if these reverse, market bounce incoming
- Utility sector (ATR 79th pct, rising) + Comm Services (79th pct, rising) = defensive leadership
Sectors Gaining Momentum (tomorrow’s potential winners):
- 🔋 Utilities — rising trend, 79th percentile, defensive rotation confirmed
- 📡 Communication Services — rising trend, 79th percentile despite negative ATR%-M (-0.16)
- ⚡ Energy — highest ATR%-M (4.54) though falling trend; BOIL, BATL showing catalyst activity
Setups Forming (Not Yet Triggered):
- CRM $196.05 — dual-scan (2LYNCH + Delayed 9M), INST backed, needs volume confirmation above $198
- PLTR $147.22 — Delayed 9M, INST ✅, high risk (119%) but thematic AI story; needs breadth support
- NRG $162.06 — Reversal Bullish, RVOL 5.0, INST ✅, Utility sector — if market stabilizes, strong BTFD setup at $155–$158 support
- HUBS $275.37 — best quality 2LYNCH (+4.5%, INST), watch for volume expansion above $278
⚠️ Bottom Line: Market is in a bearish tape with selective pockets of strength. Prioritize FFM + BBT setups. Respect ABC rules. Utilities and Communication Services are the only sectors with rising institutional momentum. Trade small, wait for volume confirmation.