Situation Awareness: Cautious. The session extended gains from yesterday’s geopolitical relief rally, with the broader market building momentum after Israel announced direct negotiations with Lebanon—prompting a sharp drop in oil and renewed AI trade enthusiasm. Though SPY, QQQ, and IWM all closed higher, no precise index prices were available per data integrity rules. Trade mode for tomorrow: selective and defensive, with focus on early strength confirmation and CPI volatility. Today’s defining context was geopolitical de-escalation (netting crude $3.49 lower to $97.89) and renewed AI infrastructure spend (AMZN +5.60%, META +2.61%, CRWV +3.49%). Regime context — 55.36% of stocks closed above their 40-day SMA (vs 51.26% prior day, regime held at Cautious), and the 4% Bull/Bear gauge shows 178 bulls vs. 152 bears. The 5-day trend turned up 3 of 5 days, signaling early recovery momentum, though not yet broad-based.
SIP: STAA AMZN META CRWV
- What’s working today: 2LYNCH: 3, D9M: 28, Reversal: 120 — continuation and momentum scans led
- Leading sectors: Consumer Discretionary (+2.5%), Industrials (+1.0%), Technology (+0.7%); leading themes: AI infrastructure buildout, oil-adjacent beneficiaries (airlines, autos, travel), high-volume momentum (CRWV, NEOG, STAA)
- Key event — Amazon’s $25B Mississippi data center announcement and CEO Jassy’s AI reinvestment信 reinvigorated hyperscaler narrative and pulled energy names higher across the cap spectrum.
- Regime threading: morning SA called Cautious (51.3%), closing is Cautious (55.4%) — held at Cautious, breadth expanded modestly but not decisively
- DEP watchlist: AMZN, CRWG, STAA, CIFR, INTC — strongest D9M setups with RVOL > 1.4 and ATR%-M > 3.0
- SIPS: STAA, AMZN, CRWV — top 3 from Continuation scan with daily gains > 5% and institutional interest
Market Breadth — 2026-04-09
| Sentiment 4% | Bullish | 40SMA | Bullish |
| Bull 4% | 178 | Bear 4% | 152 |
| % > 20 SMA | 61% | % > 40 SMA | 55.36% |
| Bull 9M | 12 | Bear 9M | 19 |