Situation Awareness: Bearish. Stocks rebounded on peace proposal hopes, hitting 200-day moving averages before Iran denied talks. Oil’s retreat supported gains, but geopolitical uncertainty lingers. Trade mode for tomorrow: selective and defensive, prioritizing quick trades and tight risk management. Market vulnerable to headline risk as investors monitor US-Iran negotiations and oil price swings. Regime context — 28.2% of stocks closed above their 40-day SMA (vs 25.9% prior day, regime held at Bearish), and the 4% Bull/Bear gauge shows 230 bulls vs. 57 bears. The 5-day trend shows a consistent down sequence, confirming downward momentum.
SIP: ARM CORT HPE AMD
- What’s working today: key setups include 2LYNCH: 15, D9M: 78, Reversal: 141 strategies fired today
- Leading sectors: Materials (+2.0%), Health Care (+1.0%), Consumer Discretionary (+1.2%); leading themes: Precious Metals (+3.4%), Technology Hardware (+7.9%), Cruise Lines (+2.5%)
- Key event: Arm Holdings’ strategic shift to in-house silicon drove a significant stock surge.
- Regime threading: morning SA called Bearish (25.9%), closing is Bearish (28.2%) — held as indexes failed to sustain gains and geopolitical concerns persist.
- DEP watchlist: ANNA APA HPE SATL WRD
- SIPS: DOCN GPI MDGL IBG CVGI
Market Breadth — 2026-03-25
| Sentiment 4% | Bullish | 40SMA | Neutral |
| Bull 4% | 230 | Bear 4% | 57 |
| % > 20 SMA | 28% | % > 40 SMA | 28.2% |
| Bull 9M | 20 | Bear 9M | 5 |