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Bearish Market Analysis

Market Summary — Midday — 2026-09-24

September 24, 2026 7 min read
Tickers Mentioned
Key Takeaways
  • equities remained under pressure through midday Thursday as the confluence of surging crude oil prices and multi-year-high Treasury yields continued to unsettle risk sentiment
  • As of 11:55 ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded at 51,185.48, down 326.11 points (-0.63%); the Nasdaq Composite fell 184.60 points (-0.68%) to 26,772.48; and the S&P 500 slipped 33.73 points (-0.44%) to 7,672.30
  • Selling accelerated into the midday session, with all three major averages notching fresh session lows shortly before the report's most recent update

Market Summary

U.S. equities remained under pressure through midday Thursday as the confluence of surging crude oil prices and multi-year-high Treasury yields continued to unsettle risk sentiment. As of 11:55 ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded at 51,185.48, down 326.11 points (-0.63%); the Nasdaq Composite fell 184.60 points (-0.68%) to 26,772.48; and the S&P 500 slipped 33.73 points (-0.44%) to 7,672.30. Selling accelerated into the midday session, with all three major averages notching fresh session lows shortly before the report’s most recent update.

The primary catalyst remains the one-two punch of rising energy prices and elevated rates. WTI crude jumped $4.25 (+4.6%) to $96.41/bbl as a U.S.-Iran truce remains elusive, while the 10-year Treasury yield pushed to a multi-year high near 5.15-5.16%. Rate-hike expectations for the October FOMC meeting have firmed further, adding another layer of pressure on rate-sensitive and growth-oriented names. Small caps underperformed broadly, with the Russell 2000 down roughly 0.8-0.9% alongside similar losses in the S&P Mid Cap 400.

Sector rotation was pronounced, with defensive and energy-linked groups outperforming while technology and mega-cap growth names lagged. Energy (+1.6%), Communication Services (+0.8%, powered by Meta’s continued AI-driven rally), and Health Care (+0.6%) were the lone bright spots, while Information Technology (-1.2%) led decliners as the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 1.8% and Oracle tumbled nearly 5% on a force majeure headline. Market internals remained decisively negative, with decliners outpacing advancers by roughly 3-to-1 on the NYSE and better than 2.5-to-1 on the Nasdaq.

Market Snapshot

| Index | Level | Change | % Change |
|—|—|—|—|
| Dow Jones Industrial Average | 51,185.48 | -326.11 | -0.63% |
| Nasdaq Composite | 26,772.48 | -184.60 | -0.68% |
| S&P 500 | 7,672.30 | -33.73 | -0.44% |

Breadth (NYSE/Nasdaq):

  • NYSE: 695 advancers / 1,912 decliners | Volume: 229.97 mln
  • Nasdaq: 1,169 advancers / 2,938 decliners | Volume: 3.90 bln

WaveFinder Breadth Metrics:

  • Primary Sentiment: Very Bearish (Bulls 712 / Bears 1,061)
  • 4% Sentiment: Bearish (Bulls 45 / Bears 207)
  • 40 SMA Sentiment: Oversold
  • 9-Month Bulls: 5 / Bears: 23 (Follow-Through: 23.08%)
  • % of Stocks Above 20-day SMA: 26%
  • % of Stocks Above 40-day SMA: 18.96%

Breadth readings underscore a broadly deteriorating technical backdrop, with fewer than one in five names holding above their 40-day moving average.

Sector Performance

Advancing:
1. Energy: +1.6% — benefiting directly from the surge in crude oil prices
2. Communication Services: +0.8% — led by strength in Meta Platforms
3. Health Care: +0.6% — defensive positioning amid broader weakness (WaveFinder ATR 2.06%, rising, P63 — highest volatility percentile of the day)

Declining:
4. Information Technology: -1.2% — widest sector loss, pressured by semiconductors and Oracle (WaveFinder ATR 1.18%, rising, P95 — most elevated volatility reading in the market)
5. Consumer Discretionary: Weak (WaveFinder ATR -2.38%, falling, P0)
6. Materials: Weak (WaveFinder ATR -1.28%, flat, P32)
7. Industrials: Weak (WaveFinder ATR -2.23%, flat, P16)
8. Utilities: Weak (WaveFinder ATR -4.70%, falling, P0)
9. Financials: Weak (WaveFinder ATR -2.21%, falling, P0)
10. Consumer Staples: Not flagged by Briefing.com (WaveFinder ATR -1.14%, falling, P32)
11. Real Estate: Not flagged by Briefing.com (WaveFinder ATR -3.22%, flat, P0)

Eight of eleven S&P 500 sectors are in negative territory, with Energy, Communication Services, and Health Care the only groups holding gains at midday.

Key Earnings & Movers

  • Everpure (P) 128.74, +19.09 (+17.41%) — Top S&P 500 performer, hitting record highs after a bullish Analyst Day; preliminary FY28 revenue guidance of $7.0-7.3 billion implies 39-45% growth.
  • Oracle (ORCL) 137.57, -6.99 (-4.84%) — Mega-cap tech laggard after Bloomberg reported the company sent a “force majeure” notice to the developer of its New Mexico data center project.
  • Meta Platforms (META) 766.69, +22.59 (+3.04%) — Bucking mega-cap weakness on continued enthusiasm for its Muse AI agent.
  • MGM Resorts (MGM) 34.30, -3.54 (-9.37%) — Worst-performing S&P 500 component after People Incorporated withdrew its acquisition proposal.
  • People Incorporated (PPLI) 37.14, +1.18 (+3.27%) — Higher after withdrawing its MGM acquisition proposal.
  • Darden Restaurants (DRI) 209.90, -3.78 (-1.77%) — Lower on in-line fiscal Q1 results; same-restaurant sales growth slowed to 3.1% from 4.6%, though FY27 EPS guidance of $11.10-$11.35 was reaffirmed.
  • BlackBerry (BB) — Little changed despite a Q2 beat and raised FY27 guidance, as record QNX performance was offset by a more cautious Q3 setup and softer Secure Communications profitability.

Stock Spotlight

Everpure (P): +17.41% to $128.74, all-time highs

Everpure is today’s standout performer following a bullish Analyst Day that reset the market’s long-term growth expectations for the storage and data management provider. While the company reaffirmed its FY27 outlook, the headline was a preliminary FY28 revenue view of $7.0-7.3 billion, implying 39-45% growth — an acceleration from the 37-38% growth embedded in FY27 guidance. Management pointed to eight consecutive quarters of accelerating growth, driven by continued share gains in core enterprise storage and an expanding AI-driven opportunity set.

Beyond the growth acceleration, the margin story is equally compelling: non-GAAP operating margin is projected to expand to 24-26% in FY28, up from 18.7-18.9% in FY27, with operating income expected to rise 80-100% year-over-year to $1.7-1.9 billion. Everpure also outlined a total addressable market that it sees nearly doubling from $108 billion in 2026 to $207 billion by 2030, spanning Core + Core AI, Modern Data Software, Scale AI, and Hyperscale Solutions. A second top-five hyperscaler design win, secured in August, provides early validation of the expanded opportunity, though execution risk remains given the magnitude of the projected FY28 step-up.

Bond Market & Treasuries

Treasury yields remain at multi-year highs, extending Wednesday’s sharp selloff. As of the 11:12 ET bond market update:

  • 2-year yield: 4.90% (+1 bp)
  • 3-year yield: 4.97% (unchanged)
  • 5-year yield: 5.02% (+2 bps)
  • 10-year yield: 5.15% (+4 bps); a separate midday equity update cited the 10-year at 5.16% (+5 bps)
  • 30-year yield: 5.44% (+4 bps)

The move higher follows Wednesday’s aggressive selloff, which was driven by stronger-than-expected September PMI data and hawkish commentary from Fed Governor Michael Barr. New York Fed President John Williams added to the pressure Thursday morning, saying another rate hike by year-end is reasonable — though this was largely already priced in. A $44 billion 7-year Treasury note auction is set for results at 13:00 ET; the prior 7-year auction produced a high yield of 4.512%, a bid-to-cover of 2.50, and an indirect bid of 60.8%. Markets are also digesting elevated rate-hike odds, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing a 70.9% probability of a 25-bp hike at the October FOMC meeting and a 52.3% probability of a follow-on hike in December.

Commodities

  • Crude Oil (WTI): $96.41/bbl, +$4.25 (+4.6%) — climbing further as a U.S.-Iran truce remains elusive, a key inflationary headwind pressuring both equities and bonds.
  • Gold: $4,318.00/oz, -$58.60 (prior session, 23-Sep)
  • Silver: $64.94/oz, -$1.65 (prior session, 23-Sep)
  • Copper: $6.75/lb, -$0.09 (prior session, 23-Sep)
  • Natural Gas: $3.15, +$0.18 (prior session, 23-Sep)

Overseas Markets

(Prior session, 23-Sep, most recent available data)

Europe: DAX -0.6%, FTSE 100 flat, CAC 40 -0.4%
Asia: Nikkei closed (holiday), Hang Seng -1.0%, Shanghai Composite -0.4%

Overseas weakness broadly mirrored the U.S. narrative of rising rates and energy costs weighing on risk appetite heading into the current session.

Economic Data

  • New Home Sales (August): +6.4% m/m to 684,000 (Briefing.com consensus: 610,000) vs. an upwardly revised 643,000 in July (from 607,000). Down 2.0% y/y. Median price fell 5.8% y/y to $393,700; average price fell 8.8% y/y to $478,700. Supply eased to 8.5 months from 9.0 months. Sales strength was concentrated in the Midwest (+84.9%) and South (+6.9%), while the Northeast (-36.1%) and West (-15.2%) declined.
  • Initial Jobless Claims (week ended Sep 19): 197,000, down 1,000 from prior week (Briefing.com consensus: 202,000). Continuing claims rose 2,000 to 1.719 million (week ended Sep 12). Takeaway: layoff activity remains low, consistent with solid labor demand.
  • Q2 Current Account Deficit: Widened to $246.0 billion (Briefing.com consensus: -$221.0 billion) from an upwardly revised -$212.6 billion in Q1 (from -$228.6 billion).

Overall, today’s data did little to shift market sentiment, with attention remaining squarely on oil prices, Treasury yields, and Fed policy expectations.

Looking Ahead

  • 7-Year Treasury Note Auction — $44 billion auction results due at 13:00 ET today; will be watched closely following a weak 5-year auction earlier in the week.
  • Trump-Xi Bilateral Meeting — White House meeting between President Trump and President Xi, with a bilateral session held at 11:30 ET; market participants await details on trade-truce extension (through January 10) and potential agriculture/financial-services announcements from China.
  • Fed Rate-Hike Trajectory — Continued focus on October (70.9% probability of a 25-bp hike) and December (52.3% probability) FOMC meetings following hawkish commentary from Fed officials Barr and Williams.
  • Oil/Iran Developments — Ongoing monitoring of U.S.-Iran negotiations, with crude prices likely to remain a key swing factor for inflation expectations and equity sentiment.
  • Corporate Earnings Flow — Continued reaction to Darden Restaurants, BlackBerry, and Everpure results/guidance likely to influence sector positioning into the next session.
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